Yeah, thank goodness we have all those Republican voters fired up and ready to vote for Hillary, and stop the evil-Donald.
So, just for the heck of it....can anyone introduce me to a Republican who would vote for Hillary? Just one? Even if he’s a doper or alcoholic?
Your comment would have seemed like common sense until a month or two ago, with this whole #notrump movement.
I really think some of these Republicans would vote for Hillary over Trump. It sure looks like a bunch of Republican power brokers would do so too.
Sabato openly admits that this is a wildly early predict uin, and that things can change a lot. But here's one thing from his aeticel that's important to know:
The problem is, there is little evidence that the non-college voters supporting Trump in the primaries are defectors from the Democrats; most have been backing GOP candidates fairly consistently, so the net addition for Trump could be small.
Republicans have been winning white, blue collar males by large margins for a long time. It was our strongest demographic (62%) in 2012, so this isn't some new phenomenon. There may be somewhat higher turnout, but otherwise, it is par for the course.
Heck Republicans have been winning white college educated males for a long time as well. Obama only won 39% of the white vote in 2012, and still won by 4%.
My guess for Hillary's VP is Corey Booker, which will lock up the black vote once again and ensure high participation/enthusiastic. among black voters.
So if we can't peal away a significant percentage of minority voters, we will have to get a higher percentage of whites. That means doing better among white women and the young, because older white men are already the base of the GOP.
I don't think it is realistic to assume that either Cruz or Trump, on their own, will improve GOP performance among women or the Obama generation. So if one of those guys is the nominee, they better pick the right VP.