...Indiana has strange delegate apportionment... It was a tossup still as of yesterday. Pennsylvania will probably be the deciding point.
But Indiana and 95% of states are bound to the statewide winner on first ballot, so their presence is a mere formality in the first round. PA is a rarity by having 54 delegates who are not bound and who cannot even declare on the ballot who they’re supporting. Some of their answers as to who they’ll support are amusing in the below survey. About 20 Cruzers and 20 Trumpsters so far, with 2 Rubio hangers-on and just 1 guy who might consider Kasich. A lot who will vote for whoever wins their district and a lot who will “make up their mind later.”
http://triblive.com/politics/politicalheadlines/10253036-74/district-whoever-wins
In 1976 Reagan campaigned on making a Pennsylvania Senator his V.P. solely to woo the unbound PA delegates. But the guy was so liberal that a bunch of other delegates deserted Reagan after the pick was made.