Yes, I had been up for five minutes and tried to add up those delegates in my head out of a list that didn’t have really pronounced differentiates for the 26th.
I may have overlapped New York or simply added it again.
You’re count minus the 100 isn’t that far off from mine.
I said he could win 300, possibly as high as 340.
Minus the 100, my estimate of 200-240 isn’t that far out of line.
If 213 is the max, that’s okay. He will be short of 1000, but that’s not a bad position to be in.
As for California, Trump wins it going away.
It’s a primary, and Ted has a very big problem with them.
The RNC can control delegates, but good luck with controlling all Republicans in the state. Not gonna happen.
Not a chance - he doesn't have the ground game. California is basically 54 separate elections, and right now the bulk of Trump's support comes from 2-3 congressional districts that are heavily moderate Republican in Southern CA. Because so many Dem congressional districts have so few Republicans, it takes a strong data operation to locate your supporters and a strong ground game to get them to the polls. There are probably 25-30 congressional districts here that will be won with a couple thousand votes cast in each. And the state GOP and the grassroots activists are all on team Cruz, so they will have the edge in identifying the voters and getting them to vote.