“Reagan made this possible by winning re-election by a bigger margin than when he first got elected. That spells continuity, a desire for more of the same.”
This is a great point...now if you look at the 11 Battleground States .. http://www.270towin.com/ .. you will find that Obama lost voter share between 2008 and 2012 in every single Battleground state. The exact opposite of Reagan!
How can I wager a bet with them legally?
Betting markets are based on the beliefs of those betting. How close those odds are to reality depends on the pool of bettors, who in this case are foreigners since it’s illegal to bet on elections in the US. And of course they are getting their info from the left-stream media, who have been wrong about Trump all along.
There are a few things these models don’t seem to factor in.
Millions of illegals voting
Electronic voting machines being tampered with
Other ways of cheating
There is no way this administration is going to hand over power to Trump. They already rigged the democrat primaries, so we know what they are capable of. They will do whatever it takes including steal the election.
I'm worried about October surprises, voter fraud, and I hope Julian Assange didn't hack the RNC. Is it really possible to predict any U.S. election anymore?
This isn’t a “change election”. This a “we despise the permanent political establishment and we want to beat them within an inch of their worthless lives election”. If they only lose their position of power, they got off easy.
“Who can forget Tom Dewey defeating Harry Truman in 1948 polls — until he didn’t? Or Michael Dukakis leading George H.W. Bush in 1988 by 17 points this time of year? Or Mitt Romney edging Barack Obama in the final Gallup poll four years ago?”
Why leave out the biggie — Jimmy Carter, with pols showing he was poised to win reelection because Ronald Reagan was so hated by the voters?