Posted on 08/29/2016 11:02:29 AM PDT by NKP_Vet
Hillary Clinton comes out ahead by seven points in the latest national poll by Monmouth University, down from a 13-point lead in the last Monmouth poll in early August.
In a head to head match, Clinton leads Trump, 49-42, among likely voters.
When including third-party candidates, Clinton leads 46-39, with Gary Johnson at 7 percent and Jill Stein at 2 percent.
The latest poll shows Clinton's lead over Trump shrunk since Monmouth's poll from Aug. 4-7, where she was 13 points ahead of Trump, with Johnson at 7 percent and Stein at 2 percent, among likely voters.
The Monmouth University poll was conducted Aug. 25-28 over the phone among 689 likely voters surveyed nationally. The results have a margin of error of plus or minus 3.7 percent.
TPM's PollTracker Average shows Clinton leading Trump, 46.6 to 41.1.
(Excerpt) Read more at talkingpointsmemo.com ...
Definitely not where he needs to be, but the trend is encouraging.
Game over. Hillary is Queen for Life.
This was the laughable poll last month... today it decided it didn’t want to be a complete laughing stock so reeled itself in a bit...
I think HIllary has a maximum support of no more than low 40s no matter what she does... and I don’t think she can or will get above it.
Imagine liberal college polls like Monmouth skew it for Hillary.
...Oh yeah they do.
Um, people, this poll is within the 3.7% MOE. I wonder what the party split was?
Vote Trump!
IOW, they are tied.
From Aug 8 poll:
DEMOGRAPHICS (weighted)
26% Republican
39% Independent
35% Democrat
47% Male
53% Female
Clinton Takes A Seven-Point Lead In Monmouth National Poll - sounds like a growing lead
Clinton Falls A Seven-Point Lead In Monmouth National Poll - reflects reality
The media is so stupid, you only can take a 7 point lead if your former position was lower, you drop to 7 points from 13.
Next week the headline will be:
“Clinton Surges to a 0.5 Point Lead in the Monmouth National Poll”
Wanna know what a likely voter is? Well it's not someone who registered to vote just for Trump, or who will vote cross party for Trump, or even who voted for someone other than Trump in the primaries. Nope - they're unreliable.
Just saying.
Just what the nevertrumpeteers like to see. Foot shootin’ son of a guns. Disgraceful is an understatement. And we thought the lyin’ king was expert at foot stompin’ 2 yr old whiney actions.
That is the first thing what came to my head. Yet again the media trying to skew it for Clinton.
“The final sample is weighted for age, gender, race and partisanship based on voter list and U.S. Census information. Data collection support provided by Braun Research (field), Aristotle (voter list sample), and SSI (RDD sample).
For results based on this sample, one can say with 95% confidence that the error attributable to sampling has a maximum margin of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points (unadjusted for sample design). Sampling error can be larger for sub-groups (see table below).
In addition to sampling error, one should bear in mind that question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of opinion polls. “
Would you place credence on the unweighted saying that more repubs are going to vote this year since they’re willing to take the survey?
What serious poll has only 26% republicans sampled? That is outrageous
Bingo!
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