thanks for your work. There is no doubt in my mind that 60% of UNa is Trump.
No idea why the Demedia keeps thinking that Hill will get 2012 numbers.
Even GHW Bush got fewer states in 88 than Regan in 84. Gore got fewer than Clinton did in 2000. McCain got fewer in 2008, than Bush in 2004.
Thursday, October 20 – Early voting period begins for the November General Election.
Tuesday, November 1 – Deadline for absentee ballot request to be received.
Saturday, November 5 – Early voting period ends at 1 PM for the November General Election.
Beginning 19 days before an election, all NC counties must open at
least one location where citizens can vote early.
Also with noting that in southern states, a lot of people are long time registered D’s that, for whatever reason - pride or what, never changed their registration but are really Trump voters.
For an extreme example, look at WV. D’s outregister R’s 45% to 30%, but that’s more likely resemble the margin of Trump victory there than anything else.
If you look at the graph of NC on McDonald’s web site: https://twitter.com/ElectProject
you will see that the GENDER & RACE graphs roughly match between requested and accepted ballots. However, the AGE graph does not match. I estimated a few days ago that approximately 10,000 of the DEM requests were from young people 18-30 who will NEVER return their absentee ballots. Thus the DEM requested number is inflated.
The proof is in the charts. The AGE graph is so different between requested and accepted.