Posted on 10/17/2016 12:17:56 PM PDT by DarthVader
COLORADO: Clinton 45 - Trump 37, Johnson 10 FLORIDA: Clinton 48 - Trump 44, Johnson 4 OHIO: Trump 45 - Clinton 45, Johnson 6 PENNSYLVANIA: Clinton 47 - Trump 41, Johnson 6
Independent likely voters shift to Democrat Hillary Clinton, giving her the lead over Republican Donald Trump in the critical swing states of Colorado, Florida, and Pennsylvania and moving her into a tie with Trump in Ohio, according to a Quinnipiac University Swing State Poll released today.
FLORIDA LIKELY VOTERS..................................
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht NonWht
Weighted Percentage 100% 32% 32% 32% 46% 54% 64% 35%
monmouth colege got clinton bucks its in one of the emails...
Let’s see ...
PA ... used D+8; 56% women to 44% men
OH ... used D=R (31%); 53% women to 47% men
FL ... used D=R (32%); 54% women to 46% men
CO ... used D+2; Men = Women (50 - 50 ... they’re doing it the old fashioned way when there was only two genders/sexes/whatever).
They’re claiming that independents are breaking for PIAPS. That’s “Pig in a Pantsuit” or “Hillary Clinton” for those of you not familiar with various ways of trashing Satan’s Little Wife :-) .
Glanced thru the methodology.
PA D+8
CO D+2 but I+9
FL D/R/I 32/32/32
OH 31/31/31
The item that strongly jumps out at me is very heavily sampled via cellphone.
They do specifically say they use a screen. They don’t make random calls and the D/R/I mix is what they got from random. They impose the screen.
Also, last Quinnipiac poll as I recall was 40% college grads and US norm is 28%. No mention of that specific in this one. Since they say they DO impose a screen, they could certainly do that for college grads or women/men and since not mentioned, you would not know.
FLORIDA LIKELY VOTERS..................................
32 D 32 R 32 I
Women 54 Men 46
Independents are not breaking for Hillary in a change election (over 70%).
Translation
Colo 45:45 tied
Ohio 47:44 Trump Ahead
Penn 46:47 Hillary Ahead
Fla 49:46 Trump Ahead
Actually it is specified.
CO 50/50 D+2
FL W+8, D+0
Oh W+6, D+0
PA W+8 AND D+8
the split between D, R and I looks to be about even.
The last time I looked in CO, the registered voters slightly outnumber DUmmie voters by 1% to 2%.
Also, these polls were all conducted over the last week at the height of all of the media onslaught against Trump.
Don’t even care.
If Americans choose to elect that shrieking psycho bitch, then they can live or die with the consequences.
All I know is I am voting Trump.
I am with you, I am tired of all this crap.
Don’t even care.
If Americans choose to elect that shrieking psycho bitch, then they can live or die with the consequences.
All I know is I am voting Trump.
I am with you, I am tired of all this crap.
Same here, but I am losing confidence. FReepers had me convinced that both McCain and Mittens would win based on their disection of poll internals (the same FReepers who say the same things this year, BTW). Those did not turn out so well.
October/November
Reagan Carter Anderson
40% 44% 9%
39% 45% 9%
47% 44% 8%
Actual result
51% 41% 7%
I see that. This year they’re underestimating the male vote.
These pollsters can lie about anything in their internals. I believe these guys will lie all the way up to the election.
McCain and Mittens didn’t fight for the Republic like Trump. There is no comparison.
These are probably accurate, but keep in mind that state polls always lag behind national polls. So, if you see a movement in the national polls on Monday, you’ll see it in the state polls on Friday.
Sam question I always ask. Who are these people who are polled? I am never polled. Do they always poll people that they know will answer the phone from previous polls? Do they poll minorities? Do they poll people that go to Star Bucks?
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