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To: HamiltonJay

When do you think?


13 posted on 10/21/2016 5:04:23 AM PDT by RoseofTexas
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To: RoseofTexas

Depends on how many days it’s got rolling if it’s a 7 day average and the poll has been fairly stable for the past week it would take a 7 point swing in one day to manifest as a 1 point swing.

If a measurable move has happened and the poll is a rolling average, unless it was a massive shift, will take a few days to start to really manifest.


18 posted on 10/21/2016 5:15:34 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: RoseofTexas

In a 7 day rolling average poll, you won’t know the effect of a specific event until it has rolled off the average. If the poll had moved significantly today, it could have been just as easily a significant day rolling off the average as a significant day rolling on. So the best answer for figuring out if the last debate had any real impact is to wait until next Wednesday.


19 posted on 10/21/2016 5:16:10 AM PDT by Rokke
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