It’s a rolling multi day average... It’s not going to spike up in 1 day.
There's so much statistical ‘noise’ in these polls around the margin of error such that it probably takes a while for reactions and changes to show up.
In thinking about the polls I was just reflecting about election night and how in all the general elections I've seen they would never make a call on who won any particular state after only 2000 statewide votes were counted. So why should we expect that polling even smaller numbers of people in these pre-election polls is accurate?
They interviewed the pollster last night who said the debate effect will not be seen for a few days.
I’m beginning to think debates have almost NO impact on elections. Unless someone says something utterly catastrophic.
The media spent nearly the entire day painting Trump as a crazy mad-man about his election result comment so no movement is just fine for me. But its tough to tell what day rolled off the tracking polls for impact of both so we’ll get a better idea over the next few days.
So was I....