In the last two elections, late breakers broke for the incumbent. One question is, does the electorate see the hildabeast as an "incumbent"?
The trends showed the challenger surging until early November, then a collapse in support for both McCain and Romney.
Now for a twist on the trend. Neither McCain nor Romney campaigned like they wanted the job. Trump is a whole 'nuther story there.
I remember the mood around here was Romney? meh, but Obama? well I guess we have to vote for Romney.
Problem was, maybe one-third of evangelical Christian voters kept to themselves a strong enough objection to Mormon religious beliefs that they either (a) stayed home on election day or (b) chose Obama or some other candidate.
I hope this time around the small fraction of evangelicals who can’t warm up to Trump sense enough of a chill coming off the Clinton glacier that they hold their noses and vote for Trump — otherwise we’re going to see the same results if we can even believe the results anyway.