48% to 33% is much more likely than a close race. I’ve been saying all along the final numbers will be more like 55% to 40% for Trump.
So long as hacked electronic voting doesn’t throw the election, I think your 55-40 split is highly possible. Enthusiasm gap will translate into votes. How many people will prefer to turn their back on this election because of the choice offered? That leaves Trump’s immense enthusiasm to eck out a victory.