Posted on 11/08/2016 12:10:46 PM PST by 11th_VA
One of the dead giveaways is they have one area of Florida as Hillary being up by four points, but Obama won it in 2008 by one point.
i.e. it’s all BS, based on flawed voter turnout data and even then probably fabricated.
would not know it watching Fox-Shep had Ed Rollins on and introduced as ldd of a Trump SuperPAC-who proceeds to rag Trump’s poorly managed style, no discipline and assert it would take a miracle.
GEEEEZZZ
Lib by North FL standards due to FSU
“In Broward, FL, 58% of D’s voted early vs. 52% of R’s.”
As of 3pm: 69% of R’s have now voted vs. 68% of D’s.”
Broward is DEM stronghold. The REPs there are coming out. Need to cut their margin there.
No nothing bad thus far and I’ve been looking...
If more Rs than Ds are turning out in a hard left county for Hillary, its a tsunami.
This was a county Obama won by 61%.
Hillary should be able to carry it easily. Not a good sign.
I’m in Tallahassee...yes, unfortunately way too many Hillary signs around here. HOWEVER, I went to the Trump rally here a couple weeks ago and was astonished. At least 10,000 local people there with thousands more turned away. I sat in traffic almost 2 hours to drive 3 miles from my house to the venue. Tons of college-age students. Tons of women and families. The enthusiasm and excitement was amazing. Leon will go blue anyway just due to the demographics here, but the rally will always stick in my mind.
That’s the info we needed. I couldn’t get Broward county website to load like many other websites today. That is hugely important.
I live in Tallahassee, very liberal
TG
“In Broward, FL, 58% of D’s voted early vs. 52% of R’s.”
As of 3pm: 69% of R’s have now voted vs. 68% of D’s.”
Broward is DEM stronghold. The REPs there are coming out. Need to cut their margin there.
_______________________________________
Especially since Broward’s turnout is already higher than in 2012 with over three hours left.
Uh, no.
More R’s than D’s are NOT turning out in Leon County. There are far more D’s in Leon County than R’s. A higher **percentage** of R’s than D’s — slightly higher — are turning out as of 3 1/2 hours ago.
There are still over 30,000 MORE D’s voting in Leon County than R’s as of noon. Hillary may not get 61% like Obama did but there is zero chance — zero — that Trump wins this county.
But if he loses by only 30,000 votes instead of 35,000 (which is about the best case scenario in this state capital/liberal college town) then that is a pretty good sign because 5,000 votes ain’t chicken feed in a state where the outcome is very likely to be extremely close.
Leon County, a blue cesspool in a sea of bright red across North Florida.
I saw that. What a downer! A "miracle" for Trump to win? And I had been so "up" reading the turnout reports from the must have states.
I don’t think there is much to see here in Leon
2012 results
Obama 90,881 [+35k]
Romney 55,805
2016 voters by party, includes early/absentee
Democrats 76,289 [+34k]
Republicans 42,180
There’s another 22,000 independents that have voted. I have no idea which way they lean.
FYI registered voters in Leon have gone from 191k to 207k since the last presidential election. If you wanna spin it we’re staying in the same ballpark on an increasing base and making gains elsewhere .. ok. Besides that I don’t think there is much to see in the Leon results
In 2012, 180,000 registered GOP voters in Pinellas cast ballots.
Right now with 3.5 hours remaining, 177,000 registered GOP voters have cast ballots in Pinellas. Based on the trajectory thus far today, I estimate 195,000 to 200,000 GOP voters in Pinellas will cast ballots by closing time.
There are about 230,000 registered GOP voters on the books in Pinellas. I’m sure more than a few are deceased but whatever.
That would give you a GOP turnout in Pinellas of 195,000/230,000 or 85%! If GOP turnout bumps up a little more to 200,000 that could be close to 90%!
It’s worse than that for Hellary. In just two counties one or both went Obama in 2012, Hillary is getting waxed. It’s likely like this for most of Florida.
“Bill Mitchell @mitchellvii 31m31 minutes ago
Between Pinellas and Hillsborough FL, counties Obama won in 2012, Hillary is down close to 60,000 votes from Obama’s lead.
“
Leon County is just another ‘data point’ in the constellation of turnout uncertainty -
I agree I think Pinellas and Duval are looking very positive so far today
Any idea how to get Miami-Dade’s numbers? Their website looks like it has no results on it, and I could not find a weblink, unlike other Florida counties.
Alachua County, another liberal stronghold has the same kind of site. Channel twenty has had two reports in the last couple of days about people going to vote and finding they have already voted.
While Trump won’t win it, the lack of enthusiasm is hurting Hillary.
Losing 5000 votes is no small joke when she needs every one of them.
You’ll have to ask Democrats why they nominated someone they can’t stand.
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