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Update 12 noon: GOP outshining local Dems in turnout percentage (Leon County FL)
8 Nov 2016 | Jon Ausman

Posted on 11/08/2016 12:10:46 PM PST by 11th_VA

Scroll down to 12:00 Update

Democrats -3.3 ... worst differential since 1968


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Florida; Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: 2016swingstates; fl2016; gotv
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At noon in Leon County, Democrats have cast 69,092 votes compared to 38,013 for Republicans and 18,481 for NPAs or minor parties. Democrats have a net advantage of 31,079 ballots cast over the Republicans. In 2012, Democrats cast 40,258 more than Republicans and in 2008 the net number was 44,827.

Democratic turnout overall stands at 63 percent with Republicans at 66.3 percent and NPAs are at 46.4 percent. The differential is turnout for Democrats is minus 3.3 percent. If this held up it would be the Democrats worst differential among the last 13 presidential elections going back to 1968.

The differential is turnout for Democrats is minus 3.3 percent. If this held up it would be the Democrats worst differential among the last 13 presidential elections going back to 1968.

!!!!

1 posted on 11/08/2016 12:10:46 PM PST by 11th_VA
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To: 11th_VA

And not all of those dems are voting for the beast.


2 posted on 11/08/2016 12:12:49 PM PST by JamesP81
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To: 11th_VA

Thanks. Sounds good.


3 posted on 11/08/2016 12:13:26 PM PST by conservativepoet
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To: 11th_VA

TALLAHASSEE????...................!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


4 posted on 11/08/2016 12:14:15 PM PST by Red Badger
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To: 11th_VA

Is this one of the more liberal Dem leaning areas of Florida?


5 posted on 11/08/2016 12:14:50 PM PST by OttawaFreeper ("If I had to go to war again, I'd bring lacrosse players" Conn Smythe)
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To: 11th_VA

More good news!

We can expect FR’s resident concern trolls to soon show up and dismiss it as flimsy anecdotal evidence.

After all, its impossible for Rs to be doing better than expected.

Funny how good news actually upsets some people!


6 posted on 11/08/2016 12:14:58 PM PST by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: JamesP81

This is FSU country. Do you really think they are voting for Trump?


7 posted on 11/08/2016 12:15:03 PM PST by Yulee (Village of Albion)
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To: 11th_VA

Godzilla Vote!


8 posted on 11/08/2016 12:15:06 PM PST by Zathras
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To: 11th_VA

I am tentatively saying Florida now leans Trump, given news out of three counties now


9 posted on 11/08/2016 12:16:37 PM PST by Viennacon
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To: goldstategop

I think many are too afraid to be let down. I know I’m guilty of it at times.


10 posted on 11/08/2016 12:16:41 PM PST by chad_in_georgia
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To: Yulee

Never Trumpers voting for Hillary?

Aside from UT, has any one seen Edwin McMullin win anywhere by double digits? Any one?

I rest my case. A Trump vote is usually a Trump vote.


11 posted on 11/08/2016 12:19:31 PM PST by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: 11th_VA

ok, I haven’t looked at each data point offered on FR today.

But I’ve looked at a bunch of them.

I haven’t yet seen a negative data point.

Have i missed anything?


12 posted on 11/08/2016 12:19:56 PM PST by ConservativeDude
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To: JamesP81

“And not all of those dems are voting for the beast.”

Precisely. I bet the Latino vote for Trump is a lot higher than anyone suspects. Might even be 40%.


13 posted on 11/08/2016 12:20:09 PM PST by Parley Baer
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To: JamesP81

Yep, the Trumpocrats will be a huge factor today.


14 posted on 11/08/2016 12:20:40 PM PST by HerrBlucher (For the sake of His sorrowful passion have mercy on us and on the whole world.)
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To: Yulee

No, it doesn’t mean they are voting for Trump, it means Hillary is not getting the numbers she needs out of the heavily Democrat areas. Her votes are down from previous years here, so her margin here is depressed.


15 posted on 11/08/2016 12:21:18 PM PST by Scott from the Left Coast ("Now it's up to the American people to deliver justice")
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To: 11th_VA; LS; SpeedyInTexas

Wow. The belly of the beast! Tallahassee, FL. Yuge. Also scanning GOP counties all throughout the afternoon. GOP voter turnout up everywhere. All county websites loading extremely slowly today.


16 posted on 11/08/2016 12:21:42 PM PST by Ravi
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To: 11th_VA

I offer this strictly for comic relief. Their “model” shows Hillary up in every single state. :-D

https://news.vice.com/story/live-election-day-turnout-results-with-votecastry


17 posted on 11/08/2016 12:21:53 PM PST by Mr. Douglas (Today is your life. What are you going to do with it?)
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To: Mr. Douglas

That’s really the first negative thing I’ve seen all day and I hope it’s not a credible source.


18 posted on 11/08/2016 12:32:02 PM PST by JerseyDvl (#NeverHillary and we won't forget the backstabbers and sellouts.)
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To: Yulee

Really.

Neither McCain nor Romney broke 40% and no R has won here in 28 years (oops, I forgot that stating facts is unduly “concerning” to some people).

What noon’s numbers mean at best is that Hitlery might only get 58% in Leon instead of 61%. As far as votes that means Trump loses Leon by ~30,000 (at best) instead of 35,000.

Still — if he really DOES pick up those 5,000 votes in this hard-left county it’s a helluva good sign though the corks should go back in the champagne bottles until those votes are actually counted.


19 posted on 11/08/2016 12:33:07 PM PST by PermaRag (If Trayvon had a father, he'd look just like Obama)
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To: 11th_VA

One question for Freepers:

Its not D +7. Is turnout D+3, flat or R +2?


20 posted on 11/08/2016 12:35:25 PM PST by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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