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Trump's plans could double US GDP growth by 2018, Deutsche Bank says
cnbc.com ^ | Jeff Cox

Posted on 01/09/2017 12:29:24 PM PST by RoosterRedux

President-elect Donald Trump's policies have the potential to trigger a new age in U.S. economic growth that could serve as a global template, according to a Deutsche Bank forecast.

Gross domestic product growth would be double its current level under an agenda that cuts regulations across a broad swath of critical sectors, enacts tax reform that slashes personal and corporate taxes, and calls for at least $1 trillion in improvements for bridges, roads and other public projects.

"This policy mix has the potential of reigniting productivity growth and raising U.S. growth potential," David Folkerts-Landau, chief economist at Deutsche Bank, said in a report for clients. "While Trump introduces higher uncertainty, this is better than the near certainty of the continuation of a mediocre status quo."

The impact may not be felt immediately, but once the new agenda kicks in it will serve as a "game changer for the U.S. economy," Folkerts-Landau added.

In raw numbers, that would push 2017 growth to 2.4 percent and 2018 up to 3.6 percent. By way of comparison, the economy has grown an average of about 1.6 percent a year under President Barack Obama, the worst recovery since the Great Depression. Obama is the first president since Herbert Hoover not to see at least 3 percent growth for a calendar year.

U.S. growth will bleed into the world economy, according to Deutsche, which pushed its 2017 global GDP forecast from 3 percent to 3.4 percent

(Excerpt) Read more at cnbc.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: deutschebank; gdp; trump; trumpgdp; win; winning
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1 posted on 01/09/2017 12:29:24 PM PST by RoosterRedux
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To: hoosiermama; onyx; Jane Long; V K Lee; RitaOK; Black Agnes; PennsylvaniaMom; Fai Mao; Fiddlstix; ...

Check dis out.


2 posted on 01/09/2017 12:30:45 PM PST by RoosterRedux
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To: RoosterRedux; nickcarraway

I’m betting 5 percent. :)


3 posted on 01/09/2017 12:32:17 PM PST by dp0622 (The only thing an upper crust conservative hates more than a liberal is a middle class conservative)
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To: RoosterRedux

Oh boy. Inflation.


4 posted on 01/09/2017 12:32:53 PM PST by BenLurkin (The above is not a statement of fact. It is either satire or opinion. Or both.)
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To: RoosterRedux

It seems to me that more and more evidence is coming out that the US situation really CAN be fixed. Trump’s ideas are good, and they are now seen to be good. Money is coming back to the US. Companies are moving to the US. Jobs are coming back. This is all great, great stuff.

And I still think that many in Congress — both Republicans and Democrats — will seek to sabotage Trump’s agenda as much as they possibly can.

We may see Treason trials for some people, with death penalties, before this is all over. You’re either with us or against us, and many elected government officials are clearly against us.


5 posted on 01/09/2017 12:33:56 PM PST by ClearCase_guy (Abortion is what slavery was: immoral but not illegal. Not yet.)
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I wonder how the dems will fare in 2018 if there are a steady stream of successes, and if they are seen as fighting them tooth and nail


6 posted on 01/09/2017 12:34:01 PM PST by dsrtsage (One half of all people have below average IQ. In the US the number is 54%)
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To: RoosterRedux

This will happen if the shut the borders to illegals and purge those who are in th ecountry. Also need to put a limit (stop) on H-1B visas


7 posted on 01/09/2017 12:34:31 PM PST by Cowboy Bob
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To: All

Nice to see that SOME Germans still have their senses intact. Now if they vote out the Mohammendan-loving hag in favor of someone else who is still sane, I will be REALLY impressed ...


8 posted on 01/09/2017 12:35:08 PM PST by Simon Foxx
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To: RoosterRedux

He must be stopped !

Help Hollywood Help Democrats. Help MSM /s


9 posted on 01/09/2017 12:35:10 PM PST by jcon40
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To: dsrtsage

Michigan and Ohio are already jackpotting with Fiat, Ford, Chrysler, etc planned growth.. Pennsylvania steel should obviously capitalize, as well... those three swing states alone can be cemented RED, dashing RAT hopes for cycles. When Wisconsin and Iowa stay red, it’s over for the dems.


10 posted on 01/09/2017 12:45:00 PM PST by txhurl (Break's over, kids, back to WAR.)
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To: RoosterRedux

That would be too much winning!


11 posted on 01/09/2017 12:48:02 PM PST by Pinkbell (http://dtforpres.blogspot.com/2016/11/cnn-lies-multiple-times-to-help-hillary.html)
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To: RoosterRedux

Great post! THANK you..


12 posted on 01/09/2017 12:49:08 PM PST by RitaOK (Viva Christo Rey! Public Education/Academia is the farm team for more Marxists coming.... infinitum.)
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To: txhurl

Bring virginia back to RED. Downsizing federal government will clear out the Northern Virginia Rat’s nest.


13 posted on 01/09/2017 12:53:32 PM PST by Cowboy Bob
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To: Cowboy Bob

I don’t know *what* to do about VA. If the RATS exiting DC could give their houses and apartments to VA lifers, while moving in a ton of conservative defense workers while the military is rebuilt, you maybe could swing NOVA red, if you could correctly manage switching out those populations. The RAT trick of gentrifying/whiteifying cities by raising the minumum wage would work, too, not that we’d recommend it.


14 posted on 01/09/2017 1:01:59 PM PST by txhurl (Break's over, kids, back to WAR.)
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To: RoosterRedux

I notice this economist does not mention any positive GDP affect from raising tariffs.


15 posted on 01/09/2017 1:24:54 PM PST by Oldeconomybuyer (The problem with socialism is that you eventually run out of other people's money.)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer
Revenues from tariffs could offset any revenue looses from decreasing marginal income tax rates or simply balance the budget. This would stop the fed form having to float T-Bills at stupid interest rates.

Tariffs are a huge incentive to invest inside the USA.

16 posted on 01/09/2017 1:28:22 PM PST by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn.)
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To: dsrtsage

“I wonder how the dems will fare in 2018 if there are a steady stream of successes, and if they are seen as fighting them tooth and nail”

Crash and burn, Mav. Crash and burn.


17 posted on 01/09/2017 1:40:46 PM PST by Personal Responsibility (We need a separation of press and state!)
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To: RoosterRedux

I say 6% by the end of his first term. IF, they get his tax policy through concerning the business tax and his policy on ripping up the EPA regs.


18 posted on 01/09/2017 2:14:25 PM PST by crz
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To: RoosterRedux

3.6% GDP growth in 2018? I think they are a year behind. I suspect we’ll hit that early this year.


19 posted on 01/09/2017 2:19:14 PM PST by CodeToad (If it weren't for physics and law enforcement, I'd be unstoppable!)
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To: RoosterRedux

But if growth doubles, people who don’t work will fall even further behind. The SJW’s will go to the mat to stop this.


20 posted on 01/09/2017 2:41:03 PM PST by sphinx
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