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To: ckilmer

Many decades? Sorry I disagree. It’s not the 1940s anymore, we have already recognized the concept of the personal computer as being valid, which was a big hurdle at the time. There were technology moguls that claimed, up until the 80s, that the PC would never take off. If there is a commercial application for this type of computer then there is a consumer market for this kind of computer. Where there is a market, there is (or will be) a producer will to service that market.


30 posted on 03/13/2017 2:59:33 PM PDT by Durus (You can avoid reality, but you cannot avoid the consequences of avoiding reality. Ayn Rand)
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To: Durus

Where there is a market, there is (or will be) a producer will to service that market.
.........
Totally agree. The question is —how fast.

computers were in use by large corporations in the 1950’s. But they didn’t get to the consumer market until 30 years later in the 1980’s.

So there are two questions asked here. when will fully functional quantum computers be available for large corporations? the answer seems to be sometime in the next 5-10 years. Then when will quantum computers be available for consumers. If conventional computers are any model then about 30 years after corporate quantum computers are available -—consumer priced quantum computers will become available.

Given that increased computer speeds have a way of collapsing time frame for events—you might cut 30 years in half to 15 years.

So if quantum computers become available to corporations in 2025—if you add 15 years — you get 2040 as the date personal quantum computers become available to the public.

That makes the arrival of personal quantum computers coincide with the singularity


37 posted on 03/13/2017 3:44:35 PM PDT by ckilmer (q e)
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To: Durus

Can you sure the virtual realty that we can still only dream about. Full sensory overload.


53 posted on 03/13/2017 8:59:06 PM PDT by Almondjoy
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