The conservative candidate Mr. Fillon still has a chance. The socialist Macron would be a disaster, or perhaps, a continuation of a disaster. LePen has very little chance to be elected and would have tremendous difficulty governing if she did. Her party could never approach a majority in Parliament.
Sarkozy seems to be planning a deal with Macron, whose socialist/communist backers are unlikely to win a majority in the new Parliament.
There hasn’t been any real reliable polling done for the legislative election in the summer....everything is based off the Presidential election/primary.
Fillon is more or less finished. I doubt if he gets much past 19-percent, putting him at least five to ten points behind both Macron and LePen. Fillon was slated to win, if you go back to November, but this whole fake-pay thing with his wife has really made him a toxic candidate. Based on what evidence they’ve collected....unless she makes a deal and pays back the pay (over 700,000 Euro)...she might be doing some jail-time.
LePen will have trouble in the main election and getting past 40-percent point probably won’t happen. So Macron will win this...almost no doubt.
I would agree that the legislative match might be more interesting. If Macron’s party can’t get any traction....he’s just there for five years as a empty-suit president and no real accomplishments to occur.