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To: afraidfortherepublic

Here’s the reality that I think even the Dems know:

First, Zero won election the second time, barely. 500k votes. Trump last time would have flat beaten Zero in FL and OH, but still lost the election by losing PA, MI, and WI if 3% blacks don’t stay home. (Cankles actually did BETTER than Zero did in FL and OH)

In the meantime, Trump has picked up 300,000 votes in 12 battleground states, adding to his total NH and making PA very, very close-—even against Zero. Many of the Johnson voters would NOT vote for Zero, moving another 100,000 voters in MN, NH, ME, NM, NV and VA to Trump.

In other words, if the election were between Zero and Trump in 2020, it’d be very close and Trump would likely win.

Second, if Zero isn’t planning on running, he is toxic. He CANNOT transfer his blackness to any other candidate. But he alienates middle class whites who deserted him in mass between 2008 and 2012. They would flock to Trump.

So the bottom line is that Zero cannot benefit the Ds in any way shape or form-—EVEN IF HE HIMSELF tried to run again.


22 posted on 08/11/2017 9:46:24 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: LS
Obama beat Romney in 2012 by 62 electoral votes. If Romney had won Florida, Ohio, Virginia, and Colorado, that'd be 69 electoral votes and he'd be president. Obama won those states by 527,736 votes in the aggregate, or 0.8% of Obama's total popular vote. Thus, while Obama's popular vote total was 4.9 million greater than Romney's total, in reality, Obama's 'popular vote' margin of victory was about 530k votes.

Trump's 'popular vote' margin of victory across Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania was 87,744 votes, or 0.14% of his popular vote total. Had Clinton won those states, she'd be president.

It is worth noting that Obama won with the aid of the media, Hollywood, the entire Democrat machine and a Republican candidate that, well....didn't have a killer instinct. In 2016, it was the reverse: Trump had the support of Deplorables - that was it - got a little help from the video of Hillary's 9/11 collapse and the last-minute Comey episode, and was a fighter.

Clearly, Obama's 0.8% is higher than 0.14%. But if 0.14% is "extremely close," (as some can mmentators have said) what can we say about 0.8% given all the relative headwinds?

So go ahead, let Obama help the Dems. It'll be like Tom Landry in the late 1980s.

40 posted on 08/12/2017 8:29:39 AM PDT by DoodleBob
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