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Hurricane Maria Live Thread
NHC/NOAA ^ | 9/16/2017 | NHC/NOAA

Posted on 09/16/2017 5:47:46 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Hurricane Jose has been hanging around, waiting for attention in the wake of Hurricane Irma. Newcomer Maria threatens to impact the Caribbean Islands already devastated by Hurricane Irma, and brushed by Jose. Hurricane Jose threatens to brush or impact New England. Lee appears to be a fish storm at this time.



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TOPICS: Breaking News; Front Page News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: braking; dominica; guadeloupe; hurricane; hurricanejose; hurricanemaria; hurricanes; jose; livehurricanejose; livehurricanemaria; maria; puertorico; tropical; tsmaria; weather
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To: mlizzy

Rousseau, the main city in my pictures, is on the southwest side of the island map. The 2000 to 4000 foot elevation at the center of the island will help shield the population much better than if that city was on the northeast side.

That being said, the elevation will concentrate the runoff from Hurricane rains no matter where you are on that island.


181 posted on 09/18/2017 7:02:31 PM PDT by KC Burke (If all the world is a stage, I would like to request my lighting be adjusted.)
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To: Paul R.

https://m.facebook.com/SupportRooseveltSkerrit/

PM Facebook. ..says he’s been rescued.


182 posted on 09/18/2017 7:03:39 PM PDT by SE Mom (Screaming Eagle mom)
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To: NautiNurse

Wow I just was this is a Cat 5...prayers up for those on the Island!


183 posted on 09/18/2017 7:03:48 PM PDT by Freedom56v2 ((Freeper formerly known as bushwon ;))
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To: KC Burke

Just damn, that couldn’t be more of a direct hit on an island than that.


184 posted on 09/18/2017 7:08:17 PM PDT by dfwgator
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To: jeffers

I was searching for some images of Marigot on Dominica. A bit confusing as it seems every one of the leeward islands also has a Marigot.


185 posted on 09/18/2017 7:08:26 PM PDT by Godebert (CRUZ: Born in a foreign land to a foreign father.)
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To: KC Burke

The Roseau River (main river in capital) has flooded the streets of the capital, bursting through residents’ doors #HurricaneMaria #Dominica


186 posted on 09/18/2017 7:13:36 PM PDT by dfwgator
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To: NautiNurse; All

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DKDIglLUMAAY4MB.jpg:small

Interesting map showing all Cat 5’s and where they were located when they became 5’s.


187 posted on 09/18/2017 7:14:07 PM PDT by SE Mom (Screaming Eagle mom)
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To: Paul R.

Any reports from Base-Terre? Looks like the south side of the island is going to get hit very hard.


188 posted on 09/18/2017 7:14:21 PM PDT by Godebert (CRUZ: Born in a foreign land to a foreign father.)
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To: dfwgator

Keep in mind that this is a blip to a Cat 5 and it is tracking to pass directly over the US Territory of Puerto Rico southwest to northeast with a storm with a nasty tight center but a width as big as the whole island.


189 posted on 09/18/2017 7:18:22 PM PDT by KC Burke (If all the world is a stage, I would like to request my lighting be adjusted.)
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To: All

Kevz Politics
@KevzPolitics
29m
UPDATE: The main hospital in Roseau, Dominica has lost its roof
View details ·


190 posted on 09/18/2017 7:22:41 PM PDT by SE Mom (Screaming Eagle mom)
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To: All

The guy on the radio in Dominica said “How do we solve a problem like Maria”. A reference to Maria Von Trapp (The Sound of Music), who coincidentally died today.


191 posted on 09/18/2017 7:22:44 PM PDT by Godebert (CRUZ: Born in a foreign land to a foreign father.)
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To: SkyPilot

A few too many things are falling too conveniently in place at the moment to be coincidence.


192 posted on 09/18/2017 7:27:18 PM PDT by metmom ( ...fixing our eyes on Jesus, the Author and Perfecter of our faith..)
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To: Godebert

Maybe it’s like Waimea in Hawaii. It is a stream denoted “Water Of Life” and every island has one.


193 posted on 09/18/2017 7:30:44 PM PDT by jeffers
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To: Godebert

I don’t know. I can only follow this in bits and pieces tonight. (Other responsibilities.) I’m just glad I’m not in the path of this storm, and praying for those who are.


194 posted on 09/18/2017 7:36:43 PM PDT by Paul R. (I don't want to be energy free, we want to be energy dominant in terms of the world. -D. Trump)
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To: Godebert

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?f=59&t=119208&start=1240#p2645178


195 posted on 09/18/2017 7:41:33 PM PDT by Paul R. (I don't want to be energy free, we want to be energy dominant in terms of the world. -D. Trump)
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To: jeffers
I believe you are correct.

Noun: marigot (plural marigots) A side-stream or tributary rivulet in West Africa.

196 posted on 09/18/2017 7:42:50 PM PDT by Godebert (CRUZ: Born in a foreign land to a foreign father.)
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To: Paul R.

Thanks...


197 posted on 09/18/2017 7:43:38 PM PDT by Godebert (CRUZ: Born in a foreign land to a foreign father.)
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To: All

Hurricane Maria Discussion Number 12
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152017
1100 PM AST Mon Sep 18 2017

The Air Force Hurricane Hunters were able to fly a single pass
from northwest to southeast through the eye of Maria just prior to
0000 UTC. The aircraft found a peak SFMR wind of 139 kt in the
northwest eyewall, i.e. category 5 intensity. Raw objective
T-numbers from UW/CIMSS reached as high as T7.3 just before the
center moved over land. Based on these data, the initial wind speed
was increased to 140 kt on the earlier special advisory, and that
intensity is maintained for this advisory, although some slight
weakening may have occurred as the small core of the hurricane
passed over Dominica. Since the center has moved over land, the
aircraft has not been able to make a second pass through the eye.
The aircraft will be in the storm a few more hours and should be
able to provide additional center fixes once the eye moves west of
Dominica.

Maria is forecast to remain within an environment of low wind shear
and over warm water during the next couple of days. Given these
favorable atmospheric and oceanic conditions, Maria is expected to
remain a Category 4 or 5 hurricane when it approaches the Virgin
Islands and Puerto Rico, however some fluctuations in intensity are
possible due during the next 24 to 36 h due to eyewall cycles. Land
interaction and a slight increase in shear are likely to cause some
gradual weakening after Maria moves over the southwestern Atlantic
in 3 to 4 days.

Maria is moving west-northwestward or 300/8 kt. A weak ridge
located over the western Atlantic is expected to steer the
hurricane west-northwestward through 48 hours, and on this track the
center of Maria is forecast to pass near or over the Virgin Islands
and Puerto Rico on Wednesday. After that time, the western portion
of the ridge is forecast to weaken, which should allow Maria to turn
northwestward, then north-northwestward by day 5. The track
guidance is in good agreement and little change was required to the
NHC track forecast through 72 hours. At days 4 and 5, the global
model envelope has shifted slightly eastward and the NHC forecast
was adjusted accordingly to be in better agreement with the HFIP
correct consensus and ECMWF model.


198 posted on 09/18/2017 7:59:25 PM PDT by janetjanet998
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To: Godebert

Ominous...

PM Skerrit to @teleSURtv #Dominica is devastated We do not know how many dead there will be We have been brutally beaten by #HurricaneMaria


199 posted on 09/18/2017 8:38:53 PM PDT by dfwgator
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To: eyedigress

Dang, I take my eyes off the tropics for three days and lookie what blows up. Gotta get up to speed on this beast.


200 posted on 09/18/2017 9:27:05 PM PDT by dirtboy
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