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The terrible cost of Trump's Jerusalem decision
Japan Today ^ | Dec. 8, 2017 | Peter Van Buren

Posted on 12/08/2017 2:20:41 PM PST by Eddie01

Donald Trump's formal recognition of Jerusalem as the capital of Israel, reversing some seven decades of American policy, is arguably the most unnecessary decision of his time in office and one that will have consequences lingering far past his tenure. The decision may yield some domestic political advantage among Jewish and evangelical Christian voters for the president, but at irrationally high expense globally.

Jerusalem is where Israel's president presides, and where the parliament, supreme court, and most government ministries are located. In practical terms, it is the capital. However, unlike in nearly every other nation, the United States maintains its formal embassy in another city, Tel Aviv. It keeps a consulate in West Jerusalem and a consular annex in East Jerusalem, the part of the city annexed by Israel in 1967 and expected by many Palestinians to be the capital of their future state. Washington also has an office directly on the Green Line, the division point between Israel and the Palestinian territories.

Diplomats, as well as Israeli officials, understand normally an embassy is the head office located in the capital, and a consulate is a less important branch located elsewhere. But they also know from experience in Israel which door to knock on when they need to get business done, regardless of what the nameplate reads out front.

This kind of thing is not unique to Israel. A similar system in Taiwan has kept the peace there.

In 1979 the United States recognized the reality of the People's Republic of China, with Beijing as its capital, and shifted formal relations from Taiwan. Instead of an embassy in Taipei, the United States established the American Institute in Taiwan. An actual registered non-governmental organization, the Institute benefits from the Department of State providing "a large part of funding and guidance in its operations," never mind the entire staff. Yet there is no ambassador at the Institute; the chief representative is called the director. A whole sitcom worth of diplomatic parlor tricks keeps the enterprise in Taipei not an embassy of the United States.

That all allows Washington, Taipei and Beijing to focus on the practical work of relations without having to address the never-gonna-resolve-it-in-our-lifetimes geopolitical questions first. That's why these things matter. That's why Trump's decision to officially recognize Jerusalem as Israel's capital and relocate the embassy pulls down the curtain, turns on the lights, and spray-paints day-glo yellow the 500-pound gorilla in the room.

In the case of the United States and Jerusalem, the kabuki which has maintained the status quo is the Jerusalem Embassy Act of 1995. Under the act, the American headquarters stayed in Tel Aviv, business was done as needed, and everyone with a hand in the complex politics of the Middle East could look whichever way best fit their needs.

That law did require the United States to relocate its embassy to Jerusalem by 1999, but a politically expedient loophole allowed presidents to issue a waiver of the requirement every six months for national security reasons, thereby preventing Congress from exercising its power to withhold half the funds appropriated to the State Department for overseas building operations if the deadline wasn't met.

Trump reluctantly issued the waiver a few months ago and then again just after announcing his recognition of Jerusalem, giving the State Department some bureaucratic breathing room on the funding issue while he plans to build a new structure somewhere in Jerusalem – a project that could take years.

The Jerusalem Embassy Act was a practical solution, not a failed plan that did not lead to formal peace between the Palestinians and Israel as Trump characterized it. The shadowplay status of Jerusalem worked.

No more. Trump's action demands all players set aside whatever other issues they have in Israel, not the least of which is the Palestinian peace process, and instead take a stand on America's changed position.

Trump’s decision has provoked a global uproar, with world leaders criticizing the move as irresponsible and dangerous. Of immediate concern is America's relationship with Jordan. Jordan has thrown in heavily with the United States, allowing its territory to be used as an entry point into Syria for American aid. The United States and Jordan broadly have a robust and multi-layered security arrangement, working well together in the war on Islamic State. It has been a steady relationship, albeit one often based on personal ties more than formal agreements, according to several American diplomats I spoke with.

Yet following Trump's announcement, Jordan’s King Abdullah II warned of "dangerous repercussions on the stability and security of the region." The issue of Jerusalem runs deep in Jordan: it was Abdullah's father, King Hussein, who lost East Jerusalem to Israel in the 1967 war, and Abdullah himself, under a 2013 agreement between Jordan and the Palestinian Authority, is the custodian of the Muslim and Christian holy sites in Jerusalem. American diplomats working in Amman will find every facet of the relationship colored and their skills tested — no Arab ruler can be seen being publicly pushed around, perhaps humiliated, by the United States.

A second blow could come in Washington's relationship with Egypt. More so than Jordan, Egypt's rulers must act in awareness of public opinion, with memories of the Arab Spring still fresh. In response to Trump's announcement, Egyptian parliamentarians called for a boycott of American products, including weapons purchases. Egypt is also no stranger to the dangers of Islamic fundamentalism, and one Egyptian minister warned Trump's decision would shift focus from fighting terrorists to inflaming them. The role Jerusalem plays in the radical Islamic canon cannot be over-estimated. And all of this comes at a sensitive time: Cairo just reached a preliminary agreement to allow Russian military jets to use Egyptian airspace and bases for the first time since 1973.

In the coming days there will be violence and protests. But long after the tear gas clears, American diplomats will find themselves hamstrung — entering negotiations on a full range of issues having to first somehow address the action taken by Trump. This is not an unnecessarily bombastic tweet that runs off the bottom of the page, or a crude remark which fades with the next news cycle: this time, the president overturned a working policy and the effects will resonate long after he leaves the White House.

Peter Van Buren, a 24-year State Department veteran, is the author of "We Meant Well: How I Helped Lose the Battle for the Hearts and Minds of the Iraqi People."


TOPICS: Editorial; Foreign Affairs; Government; Israel; Japan; News/Current Events; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: antisemitism; antiwardotcom; antizionism; bakabakabaka; bakamono; fakenews; israel; japan; jerusalem; letshavejerusalem; petervanburen; prisonplanet; rop; skinhead; tds
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To: Eddie01

Trump declares water wet.
Trump declares that bears poop in the woods, ducks piss in the pond, etc.


41 posted on 12/08/2017 6:30:34 PM PST by faucetman (Ju"st the facts, ma'am, Just the facts)
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To: Eddie01

Well, I do think God has more to say in this than the Palestinians or Japan or Egypt or any other country.

Since all the nations have come to hate Israel, they don’t have a chance of pleasing any of them and if they are not pleased, then there will be blood shed? Ya’ mean if Israel does not give in to those nations, then it’s Israel’s fault? Of course that’s what they think.. and since we are friends with Israel, it’s our fault too. That’s like obama’s logic!

Jerusalem is biblical like nothing else.. and since it is that, the Ishmaelites want it. They want everything that has any reference to Biblical prophecies... and they want the Jews GONE. There is no possibility of them sharing. Arafat was offered more than he even asked for, from bill clinton.. and he refused it. He didn’t want harmony.. he wanted it all.

The world sides with anyone but the Jews... but the Bible said they would.


42 posted on 12/08/2017 6:43:02 PM PST by frnewsjunkie
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To: Eddie01

I hope he recognizes Taiwan next.


43 posted on 12/08/2017 6:45:19 PM PST by Lisbon1940 (No full-term Governors (at the time of election!)
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To: Eddie01

How about something new - like not allowing fear of Muslim violence dictate everything


44 posted on 12/08/2017 6:50:00 PM PST by Scotswife
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To: budj

There are no peaceful and tolerant muslims.

All sunni and shia (most of the muslim world) believe that the central tenet, the main goal, of islam is that all governments must come under sharia law. This is dar es salaam - the peace of islam.

This makes ALL muslims the enemies of ALL other cultures - regardless of how peaceful and tolerant they may seem.


45 posted on 12/08/2017 7:28:18 PM PST by TheTimeOfMan (A time for peace and a time for war)
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To: Eddie01

Suck it up buttercup...jerusalem is the capitol. Trump has the guts to call it what it is.


46 posted on 12/08/2017 7:35:15 PM PST by DouglasKC
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To: Dagnabitt

zaktlee


47 posted on 12/08/2017 7:37:15 PM PST by morphing libertarian (Build Kate's Wall)
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To: Eddie01

I had a subscription (daily) to this rag for many years.. It just got TOO left for me and I cancelled the subscription back around 2004, or so. It is so far left that I put Japanese newspapers in front of it at the news stands :p


48 posted on 12/08/2017 8:24:48 PM PST by Bikkuri
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To: Eddie01

.
Peter VanBungwart?

Trump fulfilled 27 years of US policy.
.


49 posted on 12/08/2017 8:27:55 PM PST by editor-surveyor (Freepers: Not as smart as I'd hoped they'd be)
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To: Dagnabitt
Trump should have gone the extra step and actually moved the Embassy.
It could have been done instantly. Just change the name of our Consulate General in Jerusalem to “Embassy”.
(and that of our office in Tel Aviv to “Consulate General”)

Good idea.

Pass it on to the Prez.


50 posted on 12/08/2017 9:07:38 PM PST by Vlad The Inhaler (United We Stand - Divided We Fall. Remember: Diversity is the opposite of unity.)
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To: Eddie01

What is “Japan Today” and who is the author? What makes you think Japan has the same sentiments?


51 posted on 12/09/2017 3:13:27 AM PST by trebb (Where in the the hell has my country gone?)
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To: trebb

“What makes you think Japan has the same sentiments?”

I don’t, which is why I found the article curious.


52 posted on 12/09/2017 6:11:56 AM PST by Eddie01
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To: Bernard
President Clinton would have been the President who signed the congressional bill into law. And the first to sign a waiver to delay implementation.

Jerusalem Embassy Act:

Left unsigned by President Bill Clinton and became law on November 8, 1995

Election of Donald J. Trump (instead of the "Mrs. Clinton"): November 8, 2016

53 posted on 12/09/2017 1:57:14 PM PST by Ezekiel (All who mourn(ed!) the destruction of America merit the celebration of her rebirth.)
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To: Eddie01

I think it’s certainly symbolic, butat another level it’s just where paperwork gets done.


54 posted on 12/09/2017 2:00:46 PM PST by xzins (Retired US Army chaplain. Support our troops by praying for their victory.)
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To: Eddie01

“Why would they do that with NK pointing weapons at them?”

Habit. Japan Times has been a den of leftist vipers for decades.


55 posted on 12/09/2017 2:07:29 PM PST by dsc (Any attempt to move a government to the left is a crime against humanity.)
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To: Eddie01
Why would they do that with NK pointing weapons at them?

UHHhhhh...

...BECAUSE NK is pointing weapons at them?

56 posted on 12/09/2017 3:45:27 PM PST by Elsie (Heck is where people, who don't believe in Gosh, think they are not going...)
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To: Dagnabitt

Wish I could click ‘Like’. This is the next best thing. I agree!


57 posted on 12/09/2017 4:54:35 PM PST by HollyB
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To: Eddie01

They can send the palecuckstinians back to the land of make-believe where they came from. They are purely a BS political construct just like the last two Bush presidencies. Won’t even address the obama debacle and the bubba clinton orgy as presidencies.


58 posted on 12/09/2017 5:33:50 PM PST by Caipirabob (Communists...Socialists...Fascists & AntiFa...Democrats...Traitors... Who can tell the difference?)
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To: Eddie01

It made muslims cry.

oh well, schadenfreude!


59 posted on 12/09/2017 6:31:48 PM PST by Cubs Fan (Trump is all that stands between America and left wing totalitarianism)
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To: Dagnabitt
Short version: “Let Arab violence dictate U.S. policy”

The leftists also want us to let negro violence dictate US domestic policy.

60 posted on 12/09/2017 6:34:04 PM PST by NorthMountain (... the right of the people to keep and bear arms shall not be infringed)
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