[napscoordinator]

And it begins. We definitely will keep the Senate. I just wish the House was so easy.

[ealgeone]

This from the Cannabis News Network??

[freedumb2003]

They are showing 8 D seats that could flip to R.

And this is cfnn so it is probably even more dismal for the D.

I think the Hosue will stay put.

[FlipWilson]

Anybody who makes predictions before August is being somewhat silly. If the economy crashes or other events intervene, then yes, the GOP loses. But if the economy rises and the mood of the country with it, the Dems are toast.

Rest assured, regardless, the MSM’s theme was, is and ever shall be “GOP in grave trouble. Don’t bother voting, it’s over. Cue the polls, it’s over. Believe us, it’s over.”

[NutsOnYew]

I would love to see some little-known Tea Party-like candidate rip Romney a new one.

[Tenacious 1]

I can’t click on the CNN website. My mouse won’t do it. It knows its a trap.

[DoodleDawg]

You can’t beat somebody with nobody, and in a couple of races a crowded field may result in a candidate of the Mourdock/Akins/Moore mold. The long and the short of it is that the GOP will probably pick up some seats, but not as many as they could have.

[Cowboy Bob]

If Trump begins to deport the illegals, and there is a crackdown on voter fraud, the Democrats won’t have a prayer in November.

[odawg]

Yes, we may have 59 Republican senators which will enable McConnell to turn legislative control of the Senate over to just one democrat.

[OldSmaj]

I wasted nearly 10 minutes of my life reading that tripe?

CNN has about as much business in the "predicting election results" effort as they have presenting real news.

They've not been able to do either in any meaningful way.

We will hold the Senate...and barring the sudden influx of dreaming voters in some states...we will hold the House.

[Michael.SF.]

Romney is a Republican

Do they have any evidence to support that statement? /s

[grania]

Republicans won't win anything if Deplorables in districts and states where the "Republicans" have been disloyal to Trump's agenda stay home.

It makes me wonder just how safe the US Senate is. The establishment wouldn't even get that win for Roy Moore. They've handed the dems the roadmap on how to win.

[publius911]

Romney... the male Hillary.

Go away already!

[bigbob]

Arizona is extremely questionable. Rick Scott needs to get of the pot and commit if FL is to be a reality. Indiana needs a candidate who can win, not just the best of the three unknowns.

Not as optimistic as many feel. We’eve seen this movie before.

[MMaschin]

The Democrats have an uphill battle to win the House.

In the past, the best indicator of which party would win the House, was the Congressional generic vote. Because the Democrats are a much more urban party, the poll is naturally skewed towards the Democrats, so the tipping point was about +5D or +6D, so a higher than that Dem advantage would indicate Democrats win the House, and less, the Republicans would win the House. That is the logic being used to predict the Democrats are likely to win the House in 2018.

The problem for Democrats is that they are rapidly becoming an Urban Only party. Combine that with redistricting done by Republican controlled state legislatures, and it gets ugly for Dems. Look at this 2016 Results By Congressional District

When a party wins a Congressional District, they do not want to win is 80%-20%, they want to win it 55%-45%. Why? Because extra votes are wasted, they could be used in another district. The Democrats policies, combined with redistricting, has led to Democrat votes being isolated more into heavily Democratic districts.

IMHO - the polls that show the Dems with a +10 or more advantage in the generic ballot are suffering from loss of participation of Republican support, because of their distrust of the media. Example, the CNN poll shows the generic ballot as +18D! Do I believe they are intentionally manipulating the poll? NO. I believe that a significant percentage of Republican supporters, when they see CNN on the caller id, or hear the pollster mention CNN, will not answer, or will hang up - that results in a skewed polls - it's also why the 2016 exit polls were so wrong, towards the end of the night, I remember one of the pollsters mention how they had an exceptionally high number of people decline participation. Those who declined ended up being Trump supporters. That is, in my opinion, why the polls are skewing further, and further to Dems - Republicans are growing more angry at the MSM, and pollsters are viewed by many as part of the MSM.


Could the Democrats win the House? Sure. But, for that to happen, something like 2012 would need to happen. In 2012, I was certain that Romney would win. I knew that Obama did not have the support he had in 2008. I was correct, Obama got far fewer votes in 2012 than he did in 2008. Obama got fewer votes than McCain got in 2008, so had everyone who voted for McCain voted for Romney, Romney would have won. The problem was that "conservatives" decided that "there's no difference between Obama and Romney", and decided to stay home. I think that is the problem the Republicans have now, too many will allow a Democrat to win, in order to say they didn't elect a "RINO". If conservatives would take the approach that - Progressive < DINO < RINO < Conservative - and vote accordingly, the Republican party could force the Democrats to move further right, or become irrelevant. But, unfortunately, conservative pride seems to make that impossible, and yes, the risk of losing the House is real.

[Georgia Girl 2]

Georgia is turning blue is a dream the libtards at CNN love to talk about. :-)

[Zathras]

CNN sends the message to ObamaBots.
Attack Nevada and AZ

[Lurkinanloomin]

As they showed US in AL, the Bush League Republicans will help the Democrats win to keep US from electing anyone who will side with US and the rule of law.

[spintreebob]

We don’t like either of the incumbents in AZ. Both will be empty seats the Dems must win and will do everything to win.

Our two strategies are possible.
#1. We field 2 candidates we like against 2 RINOs. If we lose in the primary, or in the final, we lose. In the final, the primary losers have no reason to vote R.

#2. We cut a deal with the RINOs. Both Ward and McSally. One for McCain’s seat, one for Flake’s seat.
All factions of Rs have a motive to vote in November.
We replace 2 RINOs with 1 RINO, 1 good gal. We have a net gain. RINOs have a net loss.

What do Freepers think?

[FrankR]

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