Yeah, that Tweet has got to be from a different Stu Rothenberg. Inside Elections (formerly the Rothenberg Report) rates the race a toss-up:
There’s a boatload of Democrats running for the CA-39. Let’s see if we can run just two Republicans and maybe they’ll finish 1-2 in the blanket primary and we’ll be guaranteed the seat in November. Had a third GOP candidate not run and gotten 7% in CA-31 in 2014 we would have finished 1-2 in the district (and held the seat) for the second cycle in a row despite GOP candidates getting below 50% combined,
It’s either him or a straight up fake account, not someone of the same name. It’s got his picture and a link to inside elections. It lacks the verification checkmark for famous people. There is also an inside elections twitter account (also unverified) that links to this one and to an account for Nathan Gonzales (unverified) and posts things from the site so maybe it is real.
If it is him my opinion of him is lowered, the tweets are vapid pro-rat garbage and he must have been overruled on the race ranking.
Anyway yes, we need to run 2 Republicans, certainly no more.