Posted on 03/06/2018 1:43:48 PM PST by JLAGRAYFOX
Freeper Inputs on Texas Primary results, turnout, key races, outcomes.
any input on who he preferred candidates are in these open House seats?
DISTRICT 2
Crenshaw
Roberts
Wall
2 will make the run off.
District 3
Taylor uncontested
District 5
Pounds and Dean battling to see who takes on Gooden in the runoff
District 6
Ellzey looks like he will force a runoff against Wright
District 21
McCall and Negley battling to take on Roy in the runoff
District 27
Bruun and Cloud will go to a runoff
ALLL THOSE DISTRICTS ARE SAFE SAFE GOP EXCEPT #21 WHICH LEANS GOP.
Lupe Valdez and Andrew White.....They have to do a run-off.....not good for the Democrats. Hee Hee.
Colin alfred....However, this person is only at 40 percent so there may be a run off with Brett Shipp who is second place but only has 17 percent.
Pee ahead of Miguel by 160K with 30% in.
All other races good.
I’m calling it a night.
In Dallas County, we had most of the county judgeships, and then Katrina happened and enough dems from New Orleans moved in to change most of those positions.
Allred will be trading on his NFL career. I was pleased to see that for all the bluster about Democrats turning the state, the Republicans got more total votes in the races I looked at.
Wall, Pounds & McCall all qualified for the runoffs, in close races, which appears to be a very good thing.
No defeats that I see in the House primaries
NY Times says Crenshaw squeaked by Wall ... so I have that one wrong
In CD 2 it’s State Rep. Kevin Roberts and Retired Naval Officer Daniel Crenshaw who has a PIRATE EYEPATCH going to the runoff
GOP Activist Kathleen Wall is in third, it’s very close but apparently they have called the 2nd spot for Crens;haw. Wall was endorsed by Abbot and Cruz, I’d have probably voted for her based on that.
Roberts was endorsed by the NRA and Houston Chronicle. Crenshaw seems like a cool dude. I’m leaning Crenshaw.
In CD 3, State Senator Van Taylor won the nomination overwhelmingly for the seat of retiring Sam Johnson, 2 rats in a runoff, the 2nd place rat is named Sam Johnson, lol.
In CD 5 it’s State Rep. Lance Gooden vs. Fundraising Consultant Bunni Pounds, who is backed by Alan West, I’m leaning Bunni
In CD 6 it’s Tarrant County Tax Assessor Ron Wright vs. Ex. Fighter and Current Airline Pilot Jake Ellzey, who is backed by Rick Perry, I’m standing up straight, not leaning
In CD 7 Total vote rat primary votes only about 6K less than GOP (Incumbent Culbertson renominated), this was a Shillery by a whisker district (huge swing, Romney by 21), Rats in a runoff, Pantsuit Lawyer establishment pick vs. Extreme Left Progtard Lady.
In CD 16 (open seat of RAT Senate nominee O’Rourke) former Judge Veronica Escobar wins the rat nomination outright and will win in November, the seat goes from fake Hispanic to Hispanic
In CD 20, no Republican ran against J. Castro, who will face a Libertarian.
In CD 21, (TRUMP 52.5, Shillery 42.5, big swing Romney had won by 22 points) Open Seat of Lamar Smith, it’s Former Ted Cruz COS Chip Roy vs. Businessman Matt McCall. Former Congressman from another district Quico Canseco ran here an placed an atrocious 8th. McCall had primaryed Smith the last 2 times. No lean yet. GOP seems to have gotten a good 20K more primary votes. Rats in a runoff, Religous Left Baptist Minister Lady vs. Businessman.
In CD 22 (44.2 Shillery 52.1 Trump, Huge Swing Romney won by 25 points) Incumbent Pete Olson remominated, also looks like about 20K more GOP primary votes. Rats in runoff, Indian Dude, a former Kirsten Gillibrand Staffer vs. extreme left Black dentist lady (as you’ve noticed democrats don’t deserve names), dentist would perform unnecessary root canal on Lady Liberty without anesthesia
In CD 23, Shillery by 3 points, Romney by 2.5, the traditional swing seat. Incumbent Will Hurd remoninated over 1 challenger, crowded rat primary. Politco shows significantly more votes in the rat primary, but also fewer total precincts voting in the GOP primary, must be some kind of error. Former Obama Trade official lady in front in rat primary with 40-some %, runner up too close to call.
In CD 27 it’s Former State Water Development Board Chairman Bech Bruun, backed by Rick Perry vs. Former Victoria County Party Chairman Michael Cloud, no lean yet.
In CD 28, no Republican ran against moderate rat Henry Cullear who faces a Libertarian
In CD 29, open safe rat seat of Gene Green, State Senator Sylvia Garcia wins the rat nomination outright, another Hispanic pickup from a Gringo Rat
In CD 30, Eddie Bernice Johnson, beats a somewhat serious primary challenger by 40 points. No Republican ran, she faces a Libertarian and a Green.
In CD 32 (48.5 SHILLERY 46.6 TRUMP had been 41.5 Obama 57.0 Romney) Incumbent Pete Sessions renominated over 1 dude. GOP got only 1300 more primary votes. Crowded rat primary, Male Black former Minor Obama Offical and football player vs. Female Hispanic Former Obama Agriculture Undersecretary in rat runoff.
Rats targets are obviously CD 23 (in particular), CD 32 and CD 7. I’m less worried about CD 21 and CD 22.
Former chief of staff to John Wayne McCornyn.
CR rated: F 58
Nothing more than an Establishment placemat. Useless.
Must say I once upon a time always held ex-fighter pilots in awe and voted accordingly, yet after Duke Cunningham shot himself in the feet, head and ass plus John McCain's infamous shenanigans, I had a small doubt blinking when I pulled the lever for Jake.
Overall, I did not see any real indication that there is a Blue Wave coming in November for the Dems for Texas as the off-year total GOP voters was more than the Dem voters in the house races where they were Republicans holding office.
Overall an R blowout. Ds hovered at 2002 turnout levels.
Trump endorsed George P. Bush-—low energy candidate-—won despite blue wave hype.
Abbott crushed it.
Comparisons to Romney turnout don’t concern me. A LOT of residual Cruz-ism anger toward Trump in 16.
More like a blue trickle ... or a blue drip.
Here's the past two presidential election maps of Texas ... there is no blue trend and there won't be in the November election either. The Dems will get the usual counties, but none of the others.
I just checked and was disappointed to see that Jorge P. Bush has won the nomination for Texas Land Office Commissioner. La Raza Jorge is using that position as a launchpad for higher office (TX Governor, US Senator, and probably one day a Presidential run), so nothing would have made me happier than to see these ambitions cut at the bud. No such luck - the worst political dynasty in the GOP marches on.
Nate Cohn (Colon) tweets
“With the count essentially completed, the GOP primary ballot edge in Texas stands at about 59.8 to 40.2%. That’s a lot narrower than any recent primary there, but I would say it fell short of the Democratic hype there.”
He has an erection over CD 32 rat turnout. He says the primary turnout in CD 23 (rat edge) is typical, even in 2014.
I forgot about George Pee, he won a blowout I see.
Kathaleen (there’s a weird variation of a name) Wall spent 6 mil of her own money to place third in CD-2, ouch.
DCCC spent heavily against progtard Laura Moser in their CD-7 primary, she made the runoff anyway.
You are right to be concerned about Jorge P. With his nice tan and family connections he will be a force in the GOP for decades to come.
I think as Rush just said, the final was over 62% for Rs, setting a record, while Ds fell well below the record.
Cohn is another douchenozzle.
Unfortunately, his dull mind and smarmy demeanor don't seem to be enough of a counterweight to these. You can also count on Jorge P. playing up his status as a "minority" (and his enthusiasm for mass immigration) to win some crossover Democrat votes.
Pete, what’s this I hear about Republicans having a chance to win control of the CT state senate because of a couple of special elections? Am I right to think that these elections will take place this summer, and not in November?
https://ctmirror.org/2018/03/09/slossberg-wont-run-putting-another-democratic-seat-play/
2 DEM seats just became open. Including Ted Kennedy.
4 open DEM seats
3 open GOP seats
3 of the DEM seats are swing districts
Open seats. No vancancies so no special elections
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