This is an entirely different race the GA... and I live in this district, and I can tell you....
Lamb may indeed win.
Saccone’s messaging as well as the GOPE has all been standard red meat republican messaging, attempt to tie lamb to Pelosi... not much else. This may motivate the R voters who would turn out no matter what, but I really really don’t think its going to get the MAGA I and D Cross over voters motivated.
Lamb has run a very good campaign for the district.
Saccone should still win, but it is not out of the question that Lamb pulls it out.. D’s are motivated, Trump Haters are motivated, they are going to show up and vote. I don’t think the Saccone campaign or the GOPe pacs have been providing appropriate messaging to motivate the MAGA voters (other than R’s who would show up anyway) to turn out.
Saccone should by the numbers win, but it is far closer than it should be, and if Saccone wins by less than 8 points, which I really doubt is going to happen, R’s better wake up and fix their messaging before the fall midterms or they are going to lose the house.
If BS media overrides what folks can see right in front of their face... so be it. Look, they had already lost everything. The jobs left because people let the jobs leave. If the district wants to hug the dem dragon, so be it.