The population growth in Japan, China, even India is falling.
The fact is that there will be a bottoming out.
In 1900, you had three advantages for higher birth rates (today, the national rate is 1.42 kids per couple...highest that it’s been in three decades). The advantages were no real nationally advertised birth control program, low cost of living, and limited taxation.
What came out of the past forty-odd years is that you have a medical establishment that levels the playing field with birth control info, women highly interested in making money and having careers, high taxation, high cost of living, and urbanization.
This recent period with the migrants...hasn’t played out completely. Incoming from 2013 to present is around 2.25 million immigrants. Probably a quarter of that group has either voluntarily left or were forced to deport list. And there’s probably around 500,000 since the end of 2017 on the failed visa list, meaning they probably will depart in the next twelve months.
The harsh reality on most who’ve arrived and gotten into the German scheme of things....the cost of living, affordable housing, and taxation...make life in Germany pretty difficult. So I think this slight upsurge in the past year on the birth-rate, will last two or three years, and then swing back.
I will relate my wife’s family in this exercise of population. Her brother passed away five years ago, with out ever producing a single kid. She has three cousins...all married and in their 50s...all without any kids. This family line, with the exception of my son, will be ending in the next thirty years. You see this repeating a good bit. I would suggest that there is something unique going on in Germany...not just in terms of culture and declining birth-rate, but a logical decision by German families that they can’t afford to have more than one or two kids.