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Is an AKP victory inevitable in upcoming Turkish polls? (AKP = Erdogan's party)
Al-Monitor ^ | April 19, 2018 | Amberin Zaman (Turkey Pulse)

Posted on 04/20/2018 4:53:47 PM PDT by Texas Fossil

As the shock of early elections announced yesterday begins to recede, a sense of inevitability is seizing Turkey. No matter what, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan will emerge victorious, or so groupthink has it. The presidential and parliamentary votes — moved forward to June 24 from their scheduled date of Nov. 3, 2019 — will be held under emergency rule, seemingly allowing Erdogan and his ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) to retain their iron grip.

With last month’s sale of Turkey’s last notionally independent media empire, the Dogan group, to a pro-government businessman, state control of public messaging is near absolute. Selahattin Demirtas — the charismatic former co-chair of the largest pro-Kurdish bloc who dazzled voters with his witty digs at Erdogan in past campaigns — sits behind bars, along with thousands of other critics. Meral Aksener, a right-wing nationalist contender, will have difficulty attracting the Kurdish votes deemed critical for defeating Erdogan. Abdullah Gul, the former president and AKP co-founder viewed as Erdogan’s sole credible rival, has thus far shown no interest in running.

Furthermore, a new law passed by the AKP-dominated parliament allowing civil servants to monitor polling, for unstamped votes to be counted as valid and for ballot boxes to be moved around all suggest that Erdogan is bent on winning by any means. Can he? With the odds stacked so heavily in Erdogan’s favor, the answer is probably yes, but it won’t be a shoo-in.

Various opinion polls suggest that Erdogan and his Nationalist Action Party (MHP) ally, Devlet Bahceli, will between the two of them garner less than 50% of the votes. To win in the first round of balloting, presidential candidates need to surpass 50%.

Aykan Erdemir...“If Erdogan were so confident about his own power, he would not be holding early elections. This is the first time we see him showing signs of panic.”

(Excerpt) Read more at al-monitor.com ...


TOPICS: Crime/Corruption; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: akp; election; erdogan; kurdistan; poll; receptayyiperdogan; turkey
Wars give huge instability to nations. The ending of wars are not predictable.

Erdogan the Islamist's dictatorship appears firmly in place, but is it really/

1 posted on 04/20/2018 4:53:47 PM PDT by Texas Fossil
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To: Texas Fossil

“What matters is who counts the votes....”


2 posted on 04/20/2018 4:56:03 PM PDT by Pearls Before Swine ("Married with children.")
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To: Texas Fossil

As inevitable a a Hillary victory...


3 posted on 04/20/2018 5:00:59 PM PDT by null and void ("We don't let them have ideas. Why would we let them have guns?" ~ Joseph Stalin)
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To: null and void

well they have some common traits.

Totally Ruthless.
Terminally Arrogant.
Keep very Bad Company.
Always Blaming others for their problems.
Hold Voters in Contempt.
etc.>>>


4 posted on 04/20/2018 5:09:41 PM PDT by Texas Fossil ((Texas is not where you were born, but a Free State of Heart, Mind & Attitude!))
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To: Texas Fossil
I'm glad I got out of Turkey before this happened. I feel sorry for my Turkish friends.
5 posted on 04/21/2018 10:03:33 AM PDT by JoeFromSidney (,uld')
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To: JoeFromSidney

My only question is why would anyone want to go to Turkey in the first place?

Midnight Express sure cured me of any desire to do that.


6 posted on 04/21/2018 10:04:40 AM PDT by dfwgator
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To: null and void
As inevitable a a Hillary victory...

Yeah, that's what struck me too. If you get to imprison your competition, that's what happens:

Selahattin Demirtas — the charismatic former co-chair of the largest pro-Kurdish bloc who dazzled voters with his witty digs at Erdogan in past campaigns — sits behind bars, along with thousands of other critics.

Of course the Democrats would never abuse the powers of government to ensure their candidate got elected...

7 posted on 04/21/2018 10:07:26 AM PDT by Billthedrill
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To: Billthedrill

Of course!


8 posted on 04/21/2018 10:16:43 AM PDT by null and void ("We don't let them have ideas. Why would we let them have guns?" ~ Joseph Stalin)
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To: JoeFromSidney

It is a very dangerous place and will not get better quickly.


9 posted on 04/21/2018 10:17:27 AM PDT by Texas Fossil ((Texas is not where you were born, but a Free State of Heart, Mind & Attitude!))
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