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To: AmericanInTokyo; TigerLikesRooster; caww; ASA Vet; nuconvert

Is this plan B:

A North Korean delegation has visited Beijing to learn about China’s experience in economic reform and opening up, the foreign ministry said Tuesday (May 15), the latest diplomatic outreach by the isolated regime.

The delegation came to “learn about the achievements of China’s domestic economic development and reform and opening-up process, and promote an exchange of experience between the two parties on governance issues,” Lu said.

Analysts have said Kim’s promise last month to build “socialist economic construction” could herald more Chinese-style economic reforms, which transformed the communist-led country into the world’s second largest economy.
https://www.straitstimes.com/asia/east-asia/north-korean-delegation-visited-beijing-to-learn-about-chinas-reforms-foreign

While this is plan A:
https://twitter.com/netgeek_0915/status/991478008841056256 ?


79 posted on 05/16/2018 6:11:56 AM PDT by AdmSmith (GCTGATATGTCTATGATTACTCAT)
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To: AdmSmith
Kim's dad, Kim Jong-il, tried it, too. But there were some problems. First, Kim Jong-il really tried to open Macau style special district in Shinuiju, but China torpedoed it. The story at the time is that China feared that Shinuiju would suck in investment money which otherwise go to Manchurian economic development. Burned by Chinese, he made long trans-Siberian tour to meet Putin, and cultivating close relationship with Russia. In the end, China reached out to Jong-il. NK and China patched up their relationship. However, he was cool to later China-led investment drive in NK. NK picked Chinese businessmen clean and kicked them out of country. I suspect he was not about to cede his power to "market." Market generates wealth, and it is basically Chinese money. It could create another power center, which he may not control.

This time Xi is strong-arming Kim into doing things the Chinese way. I think Kim Jong-un still counts on S. Korean gov to revive economic investment in N. Korea. However, since U.S. leans hard on SK, it is not a sure thing. Even more so, if Kim is going to rebuff U.S. proposal and push for drastically scaled-down denuclearization.

I think Kim still hopes that SK can deliver enough goods to him so that he does not have to entirely rely on China.

I think Plan A was that N. Korea become an independent free agent neither tied to China nor to U.S., with his nuclear arsenal ready. Play off one against the other, and get money from everybody. In the meantime, steadily advancing his project of defacto takeover of S. Korea. A kind of grand dream but China stomped on it hard.

80 posted on 05/16/2018 6:43:12 AM PDT by TigerLikesRooster (dead parakeet + lost fishing gear = freep all day)
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