Posted on 05/17/2018 2:28:38 AM PDT by Libloather
2018 PREAKNESS STAKES ODDS (5/19/18)
Post Position Horse *ML Odds
1 Quip 12/1
2 Lone Sailor 15/1
3 Sporting Chance 30/1
4 Diamond King 30/1
5 Good Magic 3/1
6 Tenfold 20/1
7 Justify 1/2
8 Bravazo 20/1
*Morning Line (ML) Odds are created by Pimlico Race Course oddsmaker Keith Feustle
Only question with late running longshot Lone Sailor is will he be ok with the slop being kicked up in his face as he tries to make his way through the pack. Some closers don’t seem to mind and still finish well despite.
But of course 1/16 mile shorter than the 1-1/4 mile KD. And 5/16ths shorter than the grueling 1-1/2 mile Belmont Stakes. Really takes a super horse to win all three, particularly without much time to rest and recover between them, and also with trainers now keeping contenders fresh on the sidelines focusing on just one of the 3 legs.
Sorry about my post 16, but we have to make it clear to the powers that be that we object to this sick b*stard crap.
it was 50 years between “super horse” Man o War and Secretariat, who were both big chestnut colts...and now its 50 years between Secretariat and Justify, another big chestnut colt...is Justify a “super horse”?...i say yes. We shall see...
Secretariat won in 1973.
Ok, 45 years isn’t too far from 50. :)
I didn’t know there was such a long time before Secretariat’s Triple Crown victory.
As a teen during the 70s I worked at Belmont racetrack for a couple years. There were 3 Triple Crown winners during that decade: Secretariat in 73, Seattle Slew, ‘77, and Affirmed in ‘78. We also had greats like Ruffian and Forego. What a time to be around the stables!
There's a race still run opening day at Churchill Downs that was called the Derby Trial (at one mile, it's the Pat Day Mile now). It was called the Derby Trial because they expected that trainers would use the race as a prep for the Derby seven days later. Triple Crown winner Citation raced in, and won, the Derby Trial.
The idea that horses need a month or more between starts is relatively recent. It might have something to do with the fact that most horses run on the drug Lasix these days. In Australia where Lasix is prohibited, the best horses sometimes run twice in the same week.
ML/NJ
there should have been 3 Triple Crown winners in a row. Seattle Slew 77, Affirmed 78..and Spectacular Bid in 1979...worst jockey ever to ride such a great horse. People then and now will never understand why Bids trainer, Bud Delp kept Ronnie Franklin on him. He almost dumped that horse 3 times in the Florida Derby that year and yet that great champion still won the race...its on you tube and i still turn away watching the replay. Eddie Arcaro, doing the commentary, was speechless. That was a clue then that the kid didn’t know what he was doing..yet Delp plowed on and the rest is history.... As a 4 year old , with Bill Shoemaker riding, Bid went 9-0..including a walk over in the Jockey Club Gold Cup...and also set 3 world records that year...what a shame.
1973 & 2018 re 50 years apart? Not with my math. I get 45.
I just tune in for the post parade and the race. I don't watch pre-game shows for any event except the Indy 500. And if he shows up there...
oh brother..gotta explain everything...horse man and breeders say the “super” horse comes along once every 50 years or so...generational thing..ok?...put down your calculators..
In the Belmont, Spectacular Bid, they discovered afterwards, had a pin from his bandage sticking into his leg.
Just now learned this as I was looking for info on Bid's Belmont loss.
"[Jockey Ronnie] Franklin died of lung cancer in Baltimore on March 8, 2018, at the age of 58."[3]
Spectacular Bid’s attempt at the Triple Crown began with the Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs in May 1979.
The crowd of 125,000 made him the 3/5 favorite, with California champion Flying Paster the bettors’ second choice. Spectacular Bid seemed nervous before the start, but Delp was so confident of victory that as the horse paraded in front of the fans, he called, “Go bet! Go bet!”
Spectacular Bid was restrained by Franklin in the early stages before moving up on the outside to take the lead on the far turn.[13] He drew clear in the straight and won by 2¾ lengths over General Assembly, with Golden Act in third.[4]
After suffering a leg cut during the race, Flying Paster finished fifth. Spectacular Bid was the last two-year-old champion to win the Kentucky Derby until Street Sense in 2007.
Spectacular Bid’s next step in the quest for the Triple Crown came at the Preakness Stakes at Pimlico.
Bumped early, he ran wide and by the final stretch was in command. He handily won the race, outpacing his competitors to win by 5½ lengths from Golden Act, with nine lengths back to Screen King in third. His time of 1:54.2 was faster than that of Seattle Slew or Affirmed, and by official time faster than Secretariat (though Secretariat’s time in this race was disputed and in 2012 changed to 1:53.0).
When asked about the colt’s prospects of winning the Triple Crown in the Belmont Stakes, Franklin claimed that “we’re a cinch.”[14]
On the morning of the Belmont Stakes, a freak accident was discovered: Spectacular Bid had stepped on a safety pin.[15] The pin had become embedded in his hoof, later leading to an infection that required the hoof to be drilled to cure the problem.
However, after the discovery of the injury, Spectacular Bid did not seem lame and was entered into the race.
Three days prior to the race, Franklin was fined after he engaged in a fist fight with Angel Cordero, Jr. in the jockeys’ preparation room due to a dispute over an earlier race at Belmont.[16] In the Belmont, Franklin rode Spectacular Bid aggressively early in the mile and a half race and went to the lead before half way.
Spectacular Bid held a clear lead entering the stretch but began to struggle and was overtaken by Coastal, who challenged along the inside rail. The favorite faded in the closing stages and lost second place to Golden Act near the finish.
Some commentators speculated that Delp and Franklin had been intent on emulating Secretariat’s performance in 1973 and that their tactics were intended to maximize the margin of victory.[17][18]
Delp, who had commented dismissively on Coastal’s chances before the race, offered few excuses: “[Spectacular Bid] may not be a mile-and-a-half horse.
The best horse won. I got beat, that’s all.
Tomorrow’s another day.”[19]
Franklin, who was replaced by Bill Shoemaker in Spectacular Bid’s subsequent races, admitted that he had ridden a poorly judged race, explaining that he had very little experience of race-riding over long distances.[20]
Spectacular Bid’s failure to win the Belmont began a record-breaking drought: after Affirmed in 1978, no horse would complete the Triple Crown until American Pharoah achieved the feat in 2015.
Spectacular Bid and American Pharoah are also the last two 2-year-old champions to run in the Belmont with Triple Crowns on the line.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Spectacular_Bid#Triple_Crown_attempt
“Sorry about my post 16, but we have to make it clear to the powers that be that we object to this sick b*stard crap.”
Definitely cruel and unusual punishment. Why on earth did they decide to put that cross dressing tulip doing running commentary on HORSE RACING? Did he beg for the job so he could be close to those cute, bent over jockeys?
It’s shorter than the Derby and MUCH shorter than the Belmont.
Justify did pick up a heel bruise in the Derby. Kept him in the barn a few days. They say he’s ok now.
Racing analyst Eric Crawford, May 5, 2018
“Justify’s final winning time time of 2:04.20 is the second slowest of the past 28 years.
But the first quarter mile of this Derby was the sixth-fastest opening quarter in Kentucky Derby history.
The opening half mile of 45.77 probably among the dozen fastest.”
ML/NJ
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.