[LS]

Richard Baris of People’s Pundit Daily, simply the best polling operation, says 35 seats are truly contested. Ds must win 24. Lesko appears safe, so possibly 25 now.

The GOP head of the House reelection committee said their polling showed of nine seats they had concern about, GOP led in eight.

I think, by October, it will be possible-—not easy, given PA’s redistricting stealing four seats-—for the GOP to actually gain one or two.

[fieldmarshaldj]

First order of business in Harrisburg, PA in January 2019: The legislature impeaches the errant judicial thugs on the PA Supreme Court, restores the 2012-18 Congressional lines for the PA seats and Gov. Scott Wagner signs it into law and appoints new Conservative jurists to the bench.

[Galactic Overlord-In-Chief]

The recent reports of the generic congressional ballot falling under 5 percent could signal the death knell for Dems' chances if the trend keeps up. In 2012, the Democrats won the overall national congressional vote by 1.2 percent but the Republicans won a House majority by 17 seats. So the Dems just being ahead in a generic ballot test really won't do it, and a very low single digit showing doesn't strike me as enough.

I think, by October, it will be possible-—not easy, given PA’s redistricting stealing four seats-—for the GOP to actually gain one or two.

I'm a bit pessimistic on that because GOP incumbents in too many close (Hillary-won or Trump single-digit) suburban districts bailed out, which is going to make it a b*tch to keep almost all of them. I think we might be able to pull it off if going into the election we were in strong shape in open Dem-held seats like New Hampshire's 1st district, or if we were poised to sweep Minnesota's 1st and 8th and maybe even knock off Colin Petersen in the 7th (all strong Trump districts in 2016). Those could compensate for some of the suburban discontent with Trump that has reared its head in some of these recent elections.