Totally wrong. It is 4/2/3, L to R. A Conservative pick makes is 4/1/4, a balanced Court. That's all. That's what they're losing their minds over. They cannot allow even parity. It's insane.
Now when Ginsburg (85) and Breyer (80 in AUG) bow out, THEN it could easily go 2/1/6... but if/when a Dem wins in 2024, Thomas and Alito will turn 80 during that term, and the pendulum can easily swing back to 4/1/4 under the next President. That's not a "lifetime", fat boy. That's a POSSIBILITY of a firmly-Right court for about 3-7 years. Try toning down the hyperbole rhetoric for just a day.
It would not surprise me if Thomas retires in Trump’s first term - I think he wants to retire and he would want a conservative replacement.
Based on decent source reporting - both Ginsburg and Soto (what was Obama thinking?) are in very poor health so it is not out of the realm of reason that both of them leave - especially if Trump gets a second term.
If Trump gets a second term I could see Alito retiring.
Trump should get at least 4 picks and possibly 5 - that would be pretty incredible by any measure and they would refer to it as the Trump court.
Thanks for that math. Youre right. Lifetime, my butt. I hate Maher.