[irishjuggler]

Anyone familiar with GOP strength in the district? Is it greater than 1/3rd? If these two yokels evenly split the vote in November, there could be an opening for a Republican to sneak in.

[johnthebaptistmoore]

The R in this race is a weak candidate, unfortunately. I wouldn’t be surprised if the final November election votes end up close between Ocasio-Cortez and Crowley, despite what Crowley is saying, now. She should lose for being anti-semitic!

[Teacher317]

Looks like most Presidential Election years, the Dem gets 170k votes to the GOPs 30k. In non-Presidential cycle years, it's 100k to 20k.

In Primaries, it's usually an abysmal turnout. In 2014, only 14k voted in the Dem Primary for the NY-14 State House seat. Crowley was usually unopposed, so no Primary vote counts for or against him since 1999. This year, it was 16k to 12k. Crowley had 10 times the campaign cash ($300k to $30k) and spending ($100k to $10k).

(Interesting note: Democratic Congressman Thomas J. Manton retired from the Congress in 1999, having already filed for and circulated petitions for reelection. He withdrew on the last day it was legally possible to do so and arranged for Crowley, his chosen successor, to replace him on the ballot. Crowley wasn't aware of this until Manton phoned him to tell him his name would be on the general election ballot.)

(Note #2: Crowley is 56, but looks 76. He first got elected to NY State House seat when he was 25, and stayed there for 11 years before hitting the US House seat for the past 20 years. Graduated from Queens College with a PoliSci degree at 23. Never held a real job.)

[Jim Noble]

Anyone familiar with GOP strength in the district?

In 2016, Frank Spotorno (R) got 30,545 votes (17%) to Joseph Crowley (D) 147, 587 (82.9%).

However, there were certainly Italians who voted for their homeboy instead of the Mick, which brought the Republican numbers up somewhat.

In 2014, there was no Republican candidate. In 2012, the Republican got 12%.

Donald Trump got 22% of the vote in the 2016 Presidential election in NY 14.

As I have often said, Trump was, in effect, elected by Democrats. If Trump's numbers had been made up only of Republican voters, he would have been crushed.

[EC Washington]

The GOP “Candidate” is Anthony Pappas an Economics Prof at St. John’s. He has no campaign at all. No office, no staff, no website, no budget. Candidate in name only.