At roughly the same point in his presidency as Trump today, back in 2002, Bush got 41% approval ratings among blacks, and in the low 70’s among Hispanics. In 2004, he got about 10% of the black vote and somewhere in the 30’s among Hispanics.
June 25, 2002
https://news.gallup.com/poll/6277/minority-reports-bush-presidency.aspx
[Gallup’s recent Minority Rights and Relations survey*, which included larger-than-normal samples of black and Hispanic respondents, finds just 41% of blacks approve of the job Bush is doing as president, while 48% disapprove. Support for President Bush among whites is quite a bit higher: 74% approve and just 20% disapprove. Support for Bush among Hispanics — a group with a possible affinity for the Spanish-speaking Texan with family ties in the Hispanic community — is nearly the same as it is among whites.]
That’s skewed, badly. Right after 9/11. Bush was at 93% approval for a while.
Normal black approval of R presidents is in the 10s.
There is a difference Bush talked a good game and did nothing. Trump is backing up his promises and black and Hispanic unemployment is the lowest in history and getting better!
So they vote differently than they vote. I thought these numbers were too good to be true.
But the good news is he doesnt need these numbers to crush the LEFT. A smaller increase like 5-10% could still do the job.
And we have not seen how they vote since Trump has been president, so we wont really find out until 2020.