What's the projected GOP outcome if
1. Sheriff Joe stays in? And,
2. If Sheriff Joe drops out out of respect for the leading GOP candiates?
(I like Sheriff Joe, however I do not look at him as a potential senator. Full disclosure, that is up to the good voters of the great state of Arizona, who must finally, somehow get things right after all those embarrasing McCain elections.)
Joe doesn’t have a chance. None. He is polling a distant third in every poll, but is drawing enough that if ALL his voters went to Ward, it would be a tie.
Right now, unfortunately, McAmnesty is leading outside any margin of error. I think Ward had her shot early (Last Aug-Dec) to cement herself as the front runner and didn’t. One thing her camp needed to do back then was to begin negotiations with Joe to keep him out.
I also urged them to use PPD polling, who could have devised an effective campaign against McAmnesty. I think it’s too late. I’ll contribute to Ward and support her, but I don’t think she’s convinced the rank and file. One GOP guy I talked to-—just a regular voter-—said “I think she needs more seasoning. She’s just been in the AZ senate a little while.”