That’s a good question. Johnson County wasn’t a warm place for Bernie Sanders the other day, but they are unlikely to welcome Trump either. I think that economic growth, fulfillment of Trump campaign promises, and the overall national optimism will help. The issue will be decided on turnout. Will the Democrats in Kansas turn out. I doubt it. Will the women of Johnson County turn out and which way will they vote, R or D? I don’t know.
Johnson County is already pretty affluent with low unemployment and high household income. If Kobach wins the nomination for governor then it may not be to the Floaters benefit. People will come out in droves to vote against him.