Forgot it. Sometimes I think Drago is a troll on FreeRep for the technology giants. LOL
“Sometimes I think Drago is a troll on FreeRep for the technology giants.”
If you don’t think self-driving cars and trucks are coming, you’re not keeping up. Who knows if the 10+ years estimate is accurate? But it is coming.
There was essentially no such thing as a smart phone before 2007. There were attempts, such as Palm Treo along with feature phones with Internet access, but there was no real general-purpose computing on your phone. Today, it’s hard to find a cell phone that is not a smart phone.
To me, 10 years, give or take, seems pretty realistic. On the one hand, there are many vehicles on the road which would be difficult to retrofit with self-driving technology even when the computer / software side is ready to go. So this will be the biggest delay. On the other hand, when self-driving vehicles become safer than humans—which will happen quickly—insurance will make human drivers too expensive... unless, of course, government intervention delays this natural outcome of free markets.
Basically, the technology is already here. Like it or not, it is the future. That being said, the salaries of over-the-road drivers do not add that much to the cost of goods. So their driving jobs will probably be the last to go. Taxis and ride-sharing will be impacted sooner. It will probably be cheaper for the average person to use driverless ride-sharing than to own.
Even today the availability of ride-sharing makes it more feasible to reduce the number of vehicles owned per household. For families with two or more cars, it may already be cheaper in terms of car insurance, gas, and maintenance, to use ride-sharing as a supplement to a main family vehicle. Since the cost of the driver is the largest part of the cost of ride-sharing, when the driver is no longer necessary, ride-sharing will become competitive with car ownership.
Maybe you and Drango have some history....I don't know...don't care.
But if you talk about me...somewhere..please ping me...so I can reply.
FReeper etiquette............applies.