I tend to trust LS since he is right more times than not. I certainly hope he is right this time as well.
https://twitter.com/LarrySchweikart/status/1026180605141114880
‘Please note in my previous thread on OH voter statistics, I was off by a decimal point (!!) in my “high turnout” model. This works much to the good of Rs. Now the high turnout would yield an R lead of about 467,000 and only leave 239,000 Us to offset, meaning Ds come up short.’
This LS, but not the other one.