Also, unlike others who've polled this race, Emerson didn't include the Green Party candidate in their list of choices.
This is an “e-poll”, so it’s skewed in favor of millennials.
Balderson might be doing better with the Deplorables than this poll shows.
This is the worrisome number.
Wouldn’t even be close if he was a Trump Republican.
He is a Bush League Republican.
This is a bogus poll. They heavily sampled Franklin County and under sampled Delaware County. That’s exactly what you need to do to skew the poll for the ‘rats.
The poll was also conducted for two days before Trump’s rally. This would skew toward the ‘rats as well.
Adjusting for the bogus skewing, I’d say Balderson wins by at least 4 to 5 points.
Larry, when they are wrong, let us mock them here.
And let us mock them forever.
That's a high margin of error.
Plus or minus FIVE percent.
Folks in the Ohio 12thCD...forget the polls......Just get out the door and go vote for Troy Balderson on Tuesday, August 7th, 2018. In a “special election”...turn out of voters, wins the election every time. Do it!!!
Support, Troy Bladerson, Support, POTUS, Donald J. Trumo, Support, Make America Great Again (MAGA)!!!
For Pete’s sake, Pinkbell, this is a damn PR release from Emerson College that Breitbart copied and released.
Learn how to distinguish from blatant, leftist propaganda versus a news story. And stop posting your garbage analysis based on obvious leftist sources.
Democrats have been campaigning as pro Trump blue dogs in these areas and Republicans better start countering this, because there are too many gullible voters out there who actually believe the Democrat is the more conservative candidate. Expect this tactic by Democrats to continue this fall.
Not to worry
They didn’t say how many undecideds which is the key in this race. Read LS analysis.
Tomorrow we will know
And all of the talk radio shows I listened to today were completely silent on this special election. If it was mentioned at all, it was only briefly as I never heard it.
Last year, the special elections were front and center not just days, but weeks ahead of time as one of the main topics of conversation. The ones this year have scantly been mentioned at all, except in the aftermath expressing disappointment that they were lost and wondering how it could have happened after winning them the year before...because nobody knew about them or had any interest. That makes a difference. A lot of them were talking about “Trump’s rally” and playing clips from it and not mentioning why he was even there.
Ping. Would love your comments on this one as a bellwether.
If this turns out to be close, which I think it will, I believe the seat could change hands again in November.
Emerson called the Conor Lamb race as well, and many here poo-pooed it. You should be concerned.
“Independents are breaking 56% to 28% for O’Connor,”
If this is true... and that’s a big IF, it is affirmation that the GOPe is not giving those non traditional MAGA and crossover voters a reason to show up this fall...
After PA18 fiasco, you would think they would learn that the same old tired messaging they have used for 20 years never got those voters to show up for them and won’t now.
This district should be safe, but so too should have pa18.
Find out tomorrow
“The poll was taken prior to President Trump’s rally in the district on August 4.”
pretty much the only statement in the article that matters ...