If Cruz beats him by more than 4 points I will be surprised.
There’s more than one Texan that still carries great animus for him, as my cousin outside Ft Worth tells me.
They resent his original failure to disclose he was a Canadian, and they resent his traitorous performance at the convention.
Even though they accept all the BS of the primaries, it’s the convention that really gets to them. Well, him and those he presumes to speak for.
There will be some otherwise reliable Republicans that may not vote in this race.
Like I said if it gets down to the issues, Cruz wins. If it becomes a popularity contest maybe you are right. But 4 points is enough for Cruz to win.
If history repeats itself, the odds are in favor of the democrats picking up enough seats to take control of the house, mybe the Senate too. But if the democrats don’t get back to the issues and quit trying to impeach Trump this may not happen. There are a lot of pissed off Trump hardcore supporters in Texas. You can bet they are not going to fail to vote or vote democratic or allow this to happen on their watch because they don’t like Cruz’s past.
With Trump coming to Texas to support Cruz, Cruz’s approval rating (popularity) should go up with all the voters who voted for Trump in the last election. Include many new voters that have been disappointed by the liberal democrats who have switched their support to Trump since the election and you have a YUGE block of voters.
I am curious as to how Trump is going to handle his past relationship with Cruz, and vice versa. If he says “Vote for Lying Ted”, that may be all it takes to get Ted across the finish line ahead of Beto.