Here’s the thing.
If conservatives feel/sense that there is NO WAY a Democrat could win, they may not vote.
Conversely, If they feel/sense that their GOP candidate has absolutely no chance of winning? They may only vote to express a protest.
Voting, just so you can say you voted for the winner doesn’t make a whole lot of sense.
There’s a bit of an underdog mindset that, IMHO, drives people to the polls.
“There’s a bit of an underdog mindset that, IMHO, drives people to the polls.”
Unfortunately, the biggest driver in midterm elections is anti-incumbent president protest voters.
Democrats will have a far easier time energizing their impeach-Trump base than the GOP will have energizing their keep-Trump base.
If the Republicans lose seats in the House it will be because of this, and nobody’s fault - not some “lost opportunity” - it’s just the way it is.
If the Republicans can hold onto the House, it will be a major victory - a real accomplishment.