re: response rates of 1-2 percent
even the campaigns supposedly have response rates of around 10 percent, which they get from doing callback after callback.
Also, look at the variance in results for different turnout assumptions, as well as the issue polling
Things could still go south but I think this looks quite optimistic for Repubs
“variance in results for different turnout assumptions”
Some races have better Rep results with Higher turnout.
Lets hope conservatives get off their butts and vote.