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The daily tracking poll by Rasmussen is still deadly accurate and they have it 47-51 as of yesterday.

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How deadly accurate was this poll in 2016?

On its final poll released Nov. 7, the day before Election Day, Rasmussen had Hillary Clinton up 2 points on Donald Trump. Clinton won the popular vote by 1 percentage point, even though Donald Trump beat her on electoral votes.

No other pollster tracked by RealClearPolitics came as close to the final results.

“The media created a false narrative about the 2016 presidential campaign, and most polling reinforced it,” Rasmussen wrote on its website Thursday. “Our polling showed that issues, not the media-fed controversies, would ultimately decide the election.”

Only one polling entity tracked by RealClearPolitics had Trump leading going into Election Day: A collaboration poll between Investor’s Business Daily and TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence that had Trump leading by two points.
http://thehill.com/media/306721-rasmussen-calls-itself-most-accurate-pollster-of-2016

The daily tracking poll by Rasmussen is still deadly accurate and they have it 47-51 as of yesterday.

But how many samples were taken in each of the 435 Congressional Districts? 100? 1000? 10? A national “mood” poll is pretty much useless. There are going to be 425 elections in November, not one. Now we may still lose the House, but like in 2016 a national poll might be interesting, might be fun to report on, but didn’t turn out to be a good predictor of the 51 elections of 2016.