Small problem.
I daily track the House races. I cannot find 10, let alone 30, seats the Ds can/will flip.
Every one of the races, save Mike Coffman in CO, has moved in the direction of the Rs.
In the last two weeks, Andy Barr, John Culberson, Curbelo, Jason Lewis, John Fase, Andy Kim, and at least a dozen more have come off the list. Either polling, or insiders, tell me these people are no longer vulnerable.
AZ GOP tells me McSally’s seat is a “tossup,” . . . but they view Enema’s seat the same way. Most of the CA seats in recent Siena polling have GOP leads. Handel, Lesko, and Balderson all look solid-—indeed, anyone who won a special election last year is considered now safe.
ALL of these are heavy R districts.
In the senate, I still have us at net 4-6 gains, but POSSIBLY as many as 8.
If you can’t find them, you aren’t looking... There will 10 or more that will flip in the upper midwest alone... Hell in PA there will be 4-6 alone most likely.
I remember when CO GOP had a brief period of wisdom back in 2012 and started shuffling people around to get Coffman in.
As soon as he got in, the CO GOP went back to following the CA model and started loosing again.
They seem to have two plans and that is it.
Follow the Religious Right in Colorado Springs.
Follow the CA GOP.
Neither plan can win CO as even Christians in Colorado are suspicious of James Dobson.
The CA model only succeeds in electing RATS.
I have noticed the same thing. One reason is that the polls are shifting from convincing voters to support their point of view, to correctly predict the outcome. This is essential for their bottom line among those who write them checks. I also see a move among undecideds, and they are not breaking for Democrats.
President Trump declassified some of the documents yesterday. When they are looked at with a microscope, the RATs will be scurrying big time. And, there should be much more to come.
I pray that you are correct. My take is that, aside from being obstructionists, the dems truly think that they will take the senate, and that is largely why they are using all the delaying tactics on Judge Kavanaugh's nomination.
do you have a ping list?? if so put me on it...
What is happening in the district now represented by the soon to be retired Congressman Issa?
Wonder what happens in AZ after the celebrity funeral of McCain. I’m sure there are plenty there that were sick and tired of hearing about it and want a real conservative elected in various races.