And if Donnelly switches, Manchin will be right behind him. In DC it’s all about who blinks first and getting cover for your vote.
And if Donnelly switches, Manchin will be right behind him. In DC it’s all about who blinks first and getting cover for your vote.
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Those two have a simple choice;
1. Vote against, they are in the good graces of Schumer, lose election.
2. Vote for. Schumer will stab them but they MAY get re=elected.
If Manchin wants another term he pretty much has to vote yes. Crazy high support for it in WV.
“And if Donnelly switches, Manchin will be right behind him.”
That’s the old “I don’t want to be first, but if someone else is first, I don’t want to be last!” trick. I remember back in the 1960’s, the “big three” automakers would agree among themselves not to have a horsepower race. Then one would break it, and it was so funny that the other guys had their “engine packages” ready to go right out of the box too.
Manchin I don’t think has declared his vote... or if he did I missed it.
Of all the Dems he seems to have read the tea leave re Trump/MAGA better than most.
I would put him as the one of the most likely red state D’s to survive, but he goes no on Kavaanaugh and Kavanaugh is confirmed I don’t think he will.
Right now, in my mind, as long as the GOP seats Kavanaugh on the court and doesn’t cave... I think every red state d that votes NO is toast...
I am also looking to see how this fiasco affects the polling in the upper Midwest, where dem senators are polling well.. MI, WI, PA... I don’t think this fiasco will make those races likely wins, but I do feel the point shift this mess is going to have will be very pronounced in those polls... so while in tight states the polling will be pressured to “keep it competitive” because those states D’s have big leads there will be less incentive for pollsters to fudge the numbers.