I think Enema’s seat is closer than Lamb’s.
Enema’s seat actually has more registered Rs, but it’s the indies that hurt there because it stretches from southern Scottsdale into Tempe and ASU. However, this is a midterm, and students don’t turnout for a midterm, let alone a House seat, like they do for a president.
I think if we keep the ASU precincts to >25% turnout, we have a real shot.
No, Jones will not vote for K. I heard last night however from a source I think you would trust that Yertle had a heated come to Jesus meeting with the Three Cuckateers, and basically said their careers in and out of politics were finished if they didn’t vote for K, and that he personally would make sure Collins lost her governor’s race and that MurCowSki would never get past a primary again. He reportedly told Flakey he’d make sure that he never got a lobbying or any other kind of job.
Yertle looks squishy, but the turtle can play serious hardball when he needs to. He held up Garland and 60 DemoKKKrat judges for a full year.
I’m talking about the open seat that Lamb is leaving, PA-14, 63% Trump. The Republican nominee State Senator Guy Reschenthaler is certain to beat rat Bibiana Boerio and that will technically be a pickup. (Though possibly offset by Lamb beating Rothfus in the new PA-17, which Trump only won by 2.5 or so points)