I just don’t see there being a large move towards Republicans in the Senate races nationally that will not trickle down to the Congressional district level.
My prediction is the Dems will win 8-10 seats in the House, and Republicans will pick up between 3 and 5 seats in the Senate.
The Dems wins at the congressional level was predicated on apathetic GOP/Moderate turnout...
IE Turn out near presidential year numbers, while the GOP only does midterm level... This will cause more than enough purple and maybe even some pink districts to swing.
After Kavanaugh, that’s not likely to happen. The GOP base is engaged, but more importantly the non traditioinal and cross over voters are engaged and angry. Just don’t see the Dem’s taking the house.
Prior to Kavanaugh, Dems taking the house was almost a certainty. Now, I just don’t see a chance in hell of the Dems taking the house.