Cruz is ahead by at least 10%.
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I don’t know the actual percentage but Cruz will win. This is a statewide
race for Governor on down this election. The people of Texas aren’t
going to vote for GOP for their state gov’t and then vote democrat in
the Senator race. Beto will win the Rio Grande counties, some of South
Texas, Dallas, San Antonio, Austin. But statewide the GOP will win.
I’d be surprised if he won more than 25 out of 254 counties in Texas
Possibly 50 percent of residents in Austin have “Beto” signs in their yards. Haven’t seen any Cruz signs; the rural counties and middle-sized cities better come out at 100 percent to save Cruz.
You left off El Paso and suburban support in the large cities.