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Limited by excerpt rules, not able to post House analysis.
1 posted on 10/12/2018 9:41:51 AM PDT by SMGFan
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To: SMGFan

I’m not buying it. No one wants so see Speaker Pelosi.

The economy is going great. Republicans are going to pick up seats in both the House and Senate.


2 posted on 10/12/2018 9:45:06 AM PDT by sipow
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To: SMGFan

And with tight races in Montana, Missouri, Indiana, and Florida, Democrats have to win all four of those to even have a chance.


3 posted on 10/12/2018 9:45:08 AM PDT by Dilbert San Diego
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To: SMGFan

NEVER VOTE FOR ANY DEMOCRAT....EVER!!


4 posted on 10/12/2018 9:45:52 AM PDT by Ann Archy (Abortion....... The HUMAN Sacrifice to the god of Convenience.)
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To: SMGFan

I’m feeling good about the Senate, but I think we’re going to lose the House..


5 posted on 10/12/2018 9:46:14 AM PDT by Simon Green ("Arm your daughter, sir, and pay no attention to petty bureaucrats.")
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To: SMGFan

That’s laughable!

There is no way that the Democrats can win the House.


6 posted on 10/12/2018 9:47:16 AM PDT by Blue House Sue
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To: SMGFan
I've got a better chance of winning the Powerball lottery than the Democrats do of winning back the Senate.

the House looks almost guaranteed to flip to the Democrats next month.

Which is the same Roll Call and their phony pollsters said about Trump's chance of beating Hillary.

The reality is that Republicans at least a 50-50 chance of holding the House.

8 posted on 10/12/2018 9:48:28 AM PDT by Kazan
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To: SMGFan

There are 35 tossup seats up for grabs. The Democrats would need to win every tossup race to flip the house. Not gonna happen!


10 posted on 10/12/2018 9:49:59 AM PDT by rwoodward ("god, guns and more ammo")
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To: SMGFan

Rasmussen Reports 10.10.2018

“With less than a month to Election Day, the Generic Congressional Ballot is now dead even.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone and online survey finds that 45% of Likely U.S. Voters would choose the Democratic candidate if the elections for Congress were held today. Another 45% would opt for the Republican. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and eight percent (8%) are undecided.”

If this is accurate and holds, the Dims will not regain control of the House.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/mood_of_america/generic_congressional_ballot_oct10


18 posted on 10/12/2018 10:00:57 AM PDT by Signalman
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To: SMGFan

By the same author just two short years ago.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/powerpost/wp/2016/10/18/trump-electoral-college-victory-non-existent/?noredirect=on&utm_term=.adff25c3efd1

Trump’s path to an electoral college victory isn’t narrow. It’s nonexistent.
By Stuart Rothenberg
October 18, 2016


23 posted on 10/12/2018 10:04:04 AM PDT by abb ("News reporting is too important to be left to the journalists." Walter Abbott (1950 -))
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To: SMGFan

Ignore this and follow LS. 95% of the political punditry is strongly infected with inside the beltwayitis and is incapable of critical thinking.


25 posted on 10/12/2018 10:06:12 AM PDT by DarthVader (Not by speeches & majority decisions will the great issues of today be decided but by Blood & Iron)
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To: SMGFan

The House isn’t going Democrat wither.


28 posted on 10/12/2018 10:08:18 AM PDT by TBP (Progrssives lack compassion and tolerance. Their self-aggrandizement is all that matters.)
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To: SMGFan

When was the Senate considered to be in play?

The Rats defending 26 Seats versus the GOP defending 8 Seats gives the Rats an edge?

I guess not having a Political Science Degree is working against me.


30 posted on 10/12/2018 10:09:53 AM PDT by Kickass Conservative (THEY LIVE, and we're the only ones wearing the Sunglasses.)
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To: SMGFan

They said Hillary would win by a landslide and two years later, according to fhem, the Rats have the House in the bag.

Maybe.


31 posted on 10/12/2018 10:10:34 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: SMGFan

We Will Keep BOTH Houses of Congress! No Doubt About it!


32 posted on 10/12/2018 10:11:27 AM PDT by DivineMomentsOfTruth ("There is but one straight course, and that is to seek truth and pursue it steadily." -GW)
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To: SMGFan

Almost every election cycle that I can remember Republicans have either lost seats in both Senate and House or gained seats in Senate and House. The few elections that the Republicans lost House seats and gained Senate seats the House losses were less then 20 seats each time, usually much less then 20.

If we gain 5-6 Senate seats then I believe it unlikely we would lose very many house seats, certainly not more then 20.


35 posted on 10/12/2018 10:13:23 AM PDT by IVAXMAN
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To: SMGFan

The house will not flip


40 posted on 10/12/2018 10:16:03 AM PDT by Nifster (I see puppy dogs in the clouds)
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To: SMGFan
Real Clear Politics has the House at 204 Dem, 199 Rep, with 32 tossups.

Of those 32 tossups, 30 are currently Republican-held, and only two are currently DemocRATic-held.

One of the Republican tossups I am familiar with, as it is my district of MI-8. Mike Bishop is supposedly in a tossup race with Elissa Slotkin based on two polls, one in April where Bishop led by 6, and a NYT poll in late September where Bishop led by 3.

If the rest of the 30 tossups are based on such narrow polling, I'd say we have a good chance of holding the house.

42 posted on 10/12/2018 10:18:47 AM PDT by Yo-Yo (Is the /sarc tag really necessary?)
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To: SMGFan

I dunno about this. 12 House seats listed among those up for grabs in Ohio and Florida show the Republican leading in all 12. I imagine it’s a similar story in other red leaning states.


44 posted on 10/12/2018 10:20:04 AM PDT by FLT-bird
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To: SMGFan

.
Fake News!

GOP will gain substantially in the house.

Leftie loon states are swinging measurably.


63 posted on 10/12/2018 10:41:50 AM PDT by editor-surveyor (Freepers: Not as smart as I'd hoped they'd be)
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To: SMGFan

Senate was NEVER in play.... And any chance of the house flipping DIED with the Kavanaugh fiasco... rollcall is at least 2-3 weeks behind the reality on the ground.


69 posted on 10/12/2018 10:49:50 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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