RCP reports poll results, but their tracking numbers are based on averages. That works fine early in the election season, but starts to show problem close to election day, especially when the mood of the country makes a big turn. The results of the incredible Democrat screw up over Kavanaugh are showing up across the country, but the effect is being dampened by the use of averages.
I believe that the Republicans are ahead in the House race right now and will gain more in the days ahead. The undecided races are likely to break in one direction, toward the Republicans. The chances of the GOP keeping control of the House is well above 50%. The media will not tell us that.
Agreed, I think there’s better than even chance of GOP keeping the House. And I expect to pick up 2 or 3 net Senate seats too. There’s no way the Democrats can hope to take back the Senate now.
This reminds me about polls, and who does them, and what they are used for. The liberal side will produce polls which give the desired result.