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Nate Silver: 86% Dems takes the House
ABC News ^ | Oct 23, 2018 | Nate Silver

Posted on 10/23/2018 8:33:48 AM PDT by Proud White Trump Supporter

Nate Silver explains the methodology behind our 2018 midterms forecast. Read more …

(Excerpt) Read more at projects.fivethirtyeight.com ...


TOPICS: Crime/Corruption; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2018midterms; 2018midtermshouse; bluewave; congress; democrats; election; midterms; nancypelosi; natesilver; trump
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Didn't this guy predict Hillary would beat Trump? Nevertheless Drudge has Silver's prediction as his main headline.

https://drudgereport.com/

1 posted on 10/23/2018 8:33:48 AM PDT by Proud White Trump Supporter
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To: Proud White Trump Supporter

Here’s the working link to Drudge:

https://drudgereport.com/


2 posted on 10/23/2018 8:34:55 AM PDT by Proud White Trump Supporter
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To: Proud White Trump Supporter

He ought to stick to sports.


3 posted on 10/23/2018 8:35:24 AM PDT by bkopto
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To: Proud White Trump Supporter

Remember, Nate became “Lord of the Algorithms” because he successfully called Obama’s 2008 victory, which was pretty obvious to anyone even remotely paying attention.


4 posted on 10/23/2018 8:35:29 AM PDT by Ted Grant
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To: Proud White Trump Supporter

Drudge is a Never Trumpet. Keep in mind Silver predicted Hillary would be President.

How did that work out?


5 posted on 10/23/2018 8:35:55 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: Proud White Trump Supporter

Wasn’t his Hillary prediction above 90%?


6 posted on 10/23/2018 8:36:01 AM PDT by dartuser
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To: Proud White Trump Supporter

That’s fine. Let the dems read it and stay home.


7 posted on 10/23/2018 8:36:07 AM PDT by MarMema
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To: dartuser

Just checked ... was above 70% ... to about 85% ...


8 posted on 10/23/2018 8:38:04 AM PDT by dartuser
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To: goldstategop

Drudge is a Never Trumpet

Yup. The first time I went to his site in about a year was yesterday, when someone on FR asked if his site was down. Out of curiosity I looked at it. It was slow but online. I just took a brief glance than closed the page.


9 posted on 10/23/2018 8:38:30 AM PDT by samtheman (On to victory in November)
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To: All

Good. This makes for overconfidence which will keep some ‘rats home.


10 posted on 10/23/2018 8:38:39 AM PDT by JonPreston
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To: Proud White Trump Supporter

Yep. He had Hillery winning about the same percentage odds.


11 posted on 10/23/2018 8:38:39 AM PDT by tennmountainman ("Trust Sessions" Yeah Right)
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To: Proud White Trump Supporter

There is not one actual NUMBER (early votes, absentee votes, etc) ANYWHERE that lines up with this result.

So far, they ALL line up with Rs holding the House by 5-15 seats.

This is all crap polling, just like in 2016. I thought we had crushed these guys, but they are back. They ought to be sued.


12 posted on 10/23/2018 8:38:44 AM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: Proud White Trump Supporter

Take which house Natie? Maybe an out house but not Congress.


13 posted on 10/23/2018 8:38:47 AM PDT by jmaroneps37 (Conservatism is truth. Liberal is lies.)
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To: Proud White Trump Supporter

What a piece of trash Drudge 8s.


14 posted on 10/23/2018 8:39:29 AM PDT by cowboyusa (America Cowboy UP!)
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To: dartuser
This is the same Nate Silver who predicted Hillary would take 374 electoral votes and win in a landslide!


15 posted on 10/23/2018 8:39:55 AM PDT by Baynative ( "If you don't have a seat at the table, you're on the menu.")
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To: Proud White Trump Supporter

So the odds he gives the Republicans of keeping the house are within a couple percentage points of the odds he gave Trump of winning in 2016 as of the morning of election day.

Looks like good news to me.


16 posted on 10/23/2018 8:40:19 AM PDT by The Pack Knight
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To: Proud White Trump Supporter

Thank you Nate for this prediction. I know I will sleep better tonight.

Knowing that you are an incorrect idiot who could not correctly tell if the sun will come up tomorrow, I’m glad you came up with this ridiculous drivel.


17 posted on 10/23/2018 8:40:20 AM PDT by Responsibility2nd
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To: LS

Just another ploy to suppress Rep voting.


18 posted on 10/23/2018 8:40:30 AM PDT by kabar
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To: Proud White Trump Supporter

I told you do not go to the Drudge report it is just a Democrat propaganda outlet and nothing more.


19 posted on 10/23/2018 8:40:45 AM PDT by jmaroneps37 (Conservatism is truth. Liberal is lies.)
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To: Proud White Trump Supporter

20 posted on 10/23/2018 8:40:47 AM PDT by Opinionated Blowhard (When the people find that they can vote themselves money, that will herald the end of the republic.)
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