Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

To: SeekAndFind

The stock market is usually LOOKING FORWARD by several months. It is never a good indicator of current economy. Since only God knows for sure where economy will be 6-9 months from now, the stock prices are simply best guess by human beings as to what is coming.

Right now, there are 4 negatives/worries for the market.

1. Interest rates are going up, which is a lagging
indicator, and confirms good economic conditions at the
present.

2. China trade deal is a huge unknown.

3. Market was seriously overvalued before recent decline.
Believe it or not it is still overvalued based on
average inflation-adjusted earnings from the previous
10 years. But the market can fluctuate a lot from the
10 year average.

4. Debt is high everywhere, especially in Asia.


18 posted on 10/27/2018 6:53:48 PM PDT by entropy12 (One million LEGAL immigrants/year is too many, without vetting for skills, Wealth or English skills.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]


To: entropy12

No, stocks are not undervalued at all based on typical market conditions. Stocks are undervalued based on LT market adjusted returns at this age point in cycle based on a normal cycle! Which is to say..


24 posted on 10/27/2018 7:17:47 PM PDT by rb22982
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson