Posted on 10/28/2018 2:12:43 AM PDT by SoFloFreeper
One of the poll questions should be “have you already voted?”
If the percentages don’t match the actual vote, the sample is bad.
Which is why I was right and he was wrong in 2016.
If you understand the dynamics of the early vote, it tells you everything.
Rs do NOT “cannibalize” election day. They are extremely traditional-—my wife, neighbor, his wife, and myself-—all are election day voters.
So if Rs are leading anywhere in early vote where “normally” they take election day (ie., OH, FL) then it should be over by election day.
Early voting this year is heavily R+ while polls are heavily D+.
Only one of these two models is right and they will predict the outcome.
Liberal pollsters believe their model is accurate. But if the early voting trend is right, they could be in for a rude awakening on Election Day.
Is their model truly based on random sampling? We’ll find out in a week.
Little Natie is going to look like a fool AGAIN and he knows it.
“... we don’t know all of the factors involved in early voting.”
That part is certainly true.
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